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Torino vs Juventus Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

The Derby della Mole closes out the Serie A campaign at Stadio Olimpico di Torino, with Torino hosting Juventus in Turin on 24 May 2026. The stakes are very different for the two clubs: Torino are safely in mid-table, while Juventus arrive already in the Europa League league-phase zone but still pushing to cement a strong top-six finish.

Torino sit 12th with 44 points from 37 matches, having scored 42 and conceded 61. It has been an inconsistent season, reflected in their recent league form string of LWLDD. By contrast, Juventus occupy 6th place on 68 points, with a far superior goal difference built on 59 goals scored and only 32 conceded. Their form line of LWDDW underlines a more stable run-in and explains why most Torino vs Juventus predictions lean heavily towards the visitors.

Played at the Stadio Olimpico di Torino, this derby brings together one of Serie A’s leakiest defences against one of its most efficient back lines. With Juventus strongly favoured in the betting markets and statistical models, many bettors will be looking closely at Torino vs Juventus betting tips and odds, especially around a Juventus win or draw and low-scoring angles.

Torino vs Juventus Key Stats

  • Torino are 12th in Serie A with 44 points from 37 matches, having scored 42 and conceded 61.
  • The last five Serie A derbies between these sides at league level listed here have produced two Juventus wins and three draws, including a 0-0 at Allianz Stadium on 8 November 2025.
  • Juventus have kept 16 clean sheets in the league this season, compared to Torino’s 12.

Torino vs Juventus — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 12 vs 6
  • Points: 44 vs 68
  • Goals For: 42 vs 59
  • Goals Against: 61 vs 32
  • Clean Sheets: 12 vs 16

The season record shows a clear gap between the sides. Torino’s 42 goals from 37 games (1.1 per match) are undermined by 61 conceded (1.6 per match), leaving them with a negative goal difference and a place in the lower half of the table. Their home record is stronger than their away form, but 27 goals conceded in 18 home fixtures still point to defensive fragility.

Juventus, by contrast, combine solid attacking output with one of the league’s best defences. They average 1.6 goals scored per game and only 0.9 conceded, and their 68 points from 37 matches have them firmly in the “Promotion - Europa League (League phase)” zone. With 19 wins and just 7 defeats, plus 16 clean sheets, they come into this derby as deserved favourites, especially given the prediction models rate them at 45% to win and 45% for the draw, with only 10% assigned to a Torino victory.

Torino vs Juventus Key Matchups

G. Simeone vs K. Yıldız

Torino’s primary attacking threat is Giovanni Pablo Simeone. He has 11 league goals from 31 appearances, with 26 starts and 2,161 minutes. Simeone has taken 58 shots, 28 of them on target, underlining his role as the focal point of Torino’s attack. He also contributes in build-up with 407 passes and 22 key passes, drawing 39 fouls and working hard off the ball with 283 duels contested.

For Juventus, Kenan Yıldız is the standout offensive star. Across 36 appearances (33 starts) and 2,838 minutes, he has produced 10 goals and 6 assists. His creative influence is huge: 64 shots (40 on target), 1,223 passes with 76 key passes, and an 84% passing accuracy. He is also a major dribbling outlet with 149 attempts and 78 successful dribbles, and draws 56 fouls. The duel between Simeone’s penalty-box instincts and Yıldız’s all-round attacking quality could decide where the best chances fall.

W. McKennie vs M. Locatelli

Weston McKennie adds both goals and creativity from midfield for Juventus. In 35 appearances (31 starts) and 2,751 minutes, he has 5 goals and 5 assists, with 36 shots (16 on target) and 1,163 passes including 47 key passes. His work rate is evident in 39 tackles and 24 interceptions, as well as 232 duels contested.

Behind him, Manuel Locatelli anchors the midfield with a more controlling profile. He has played 35 matches, all as a starter, logging 2,915 minutes. Locatelli has 1 goal and 2 assists but his influence is clearest in possession: 2,720 passes at 88% accuracy with 46 key passes. Defensively, he has 99 tackles, 23 blocks and 38 interceptions, and he leads Juventus’ discipline charts with 9 yellow cards. How Torino cope with this McKennie–Locatelli axis will be critical to their chances of disrupting Juventus’ rhythm.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent derbies have largely favoured Juventus, but Torino have managed to make several of them tight, low-scoring affairs. The last five Serie A meetings listed below include three draws and two Juventus wins.

  • 8 November 2025: Juventus 0-0 Torino (Serie A)
  • 11 January 2025: Torino 1-1 Juventus (Serie A)
  • 9 November 2024: Juventus 2-0 Torino (Serie A)
  • 13 April 2024: Torino 0-0 Juventus (Serie A)
  • 7 October 2023: Juventus 2-0 Torino (Serie A)

Torino vs Juventus Prediction

Analysis points to another cautious derby with Juventus in control of territory and chances. Torino’s recent league form of LWLDD and their defensive record of 61 goals conceded suggest they will struggle to keep Juventus’ attack quiet for 90 minutes, even though they have managed several clean sheets in this fixture recently. Juventus’ stronger form line of LWDDW, combined with their 16 clean sheets and superior underlying numbers in attack and defence, underpins their status as heavy favourites.

The prediction models rate the home side at just 10% to win, with 45% for a draw and 45% for a Juventus victory, and explicitly advise a “Double chance: draw or Juventus”. Given the low-scoring trend in recent derbies and Juventus’ defensive solidity, a narrow away win looks the most plausible outcome.

Predicted Score: Torino 0-1 Juventus

Torino League Form

LWLDD

Juventus League Form

LWDDW

Torino Possible Starting Lineup

F. Israel; C. Biraghi, Saúl Coco, G. Maripán, N. Nkounkou; A. Tamèze, I. Ilić, C. Casadei; N. Vlašić; G. Simeone, D. Zapata.

Stats suggest Torino are most comfortable in a back-three or back-five shape, with formations such as 3-5-2 and 3-4-1-2 used frequently. That points towards wing-backs like C. Biraghi and N. Nkounkou providing width, with A. Tamèze and I. Ilić offering balance in midfield and N. Vlašić supporting a strike pairing of G. Simeone and D. Zapata. Torino’s 12 clean sheets in the league indicate that, when their structure is right, they can be stubborn, but their 61 goals conceded underline how costly lapses have been.

Juventus Possible Starting Lineup

M. Di Gregorio; Bremer, F. Gatti, A. Cambiaso; E. Holm, M. Locatelli, W. McKennie, F. Kostić; K. Yıldız; D. Vlahović, J. David.

Juventus have primarily lined up in a 3-4-2-1 this season, with that system used in 23 matches. A back three built around Bremer and F. Gatti, with A. Cambiaso offering thrust from wide areas, has underpinned 16 clean sheets. In midfield, M. Locatelli controls tempo while W. McKennie provides vertical runs and secondary scoring. Further forward, K. Yıldız operates between the lines behind a powerful front line that can include D. Vlahović and J. David. This blend of structure and attacking talent is a major reason why Juventus have conceded just 32 goals and failed to score in only 8 league matches.

Torino Team News

Zannetos Savva is listed as a missing fixture for Torino due to a jumpers knee issue. Otherwise, there are no other confirmed significant absences reported.

Juventus Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Torino:

  • Zannetos Savva — Reason: Jumpers knee

Juventus:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Torino vs Juventus

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Back Juventus in the match winner market. Juventus have 68 points to Torino’s 44, a far better goal difference (59 scored, 32 conceded) and are rated at 45% to win versus just 10% for Torino. The advice is “Double chance: draw or Juventus”, and away odds are short across bookmakers, with prices such as 1.38 (Unibet), 1.40 (William Hill/Betfair/BetVictor), 1.41 (Pinnacle) and up to 1.45 (1xBet) reflecting their strong position.
  • Goals Tip: Consider a low-scoring angle (such as under 2.5 goals) based on recent derbies and defensive numbers. Four of the last five league meetings listed here finished 0-0, 1-1, 0-0 and 2-0, and Juventus concede only 0.9 goals per game. While specific under/over odds are not listed, this profile supports combining a Juventus result with a low goal line in bet-builder style markets where available.
  • Value Tip: Look at player-impact-driven markets involving K. Yıldız. He has 10 goals and 6 assists, with 76 key passes and 78 successful dribbles, making him central to Juventus’ attacking output. With Juventus heavily favoured (away odds clustered around 1.38–1.45), markets such as “Juventus to win and Yıldız to score or assist” could offer better value than the straight away price from firms like Bet365 (1.42), Pinnacle (1.41) or 1xBet (1.45).

How to Watch Torino vs Juventus

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

  • Spain: Movistar LaLiga
  • UK: Premier Sports
  • Australia: beIN Sports
  • India: FanCode
  • MENA: beIN Sports
  • South America: ESPN / Disney+
  • Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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