Fulham vs Newcastle Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Fulham and Newcastle meet at Craven Cottage on 24 May 2026 in a final-day Premier League fixture that could decide who finishes in the top half. Both sides arrive locked on 49 points after 37 matches, with Newcastle only ahead on goal difference. For Fulham, victory in front of their own fans would cap a solid campaign and potentially lift them above a direct rival; for Newcastle, it is about salvaging a mixed league season with a strong finish and asserting their status as the more upwardly mobile side.

The numbers underline how finely poised this clash is. Fulham sit 13th with a goal difference of -6, while Newcastle are 11th with a neutral goal difference, yet both share identical records of 14 wins, 7 draws and 16 defeats. At Craven Cottage, Fulham have been relatively strong, winning 10 of 18 home games, whereas Newcastle have been inconsistent on the road, taking just 4 wins from 18 away outings. That contrast between Fulham’s home comfort and Newcastle’s away vulnerability frames much of the pre-match analysis for this Premier League prediction.

From a tactical and betting perspective, this is the sort of even contest that draws interest in match odds and double-chance markets. Newcastle are marginal favourites in the books and in the underlying metrics, but Fulham’s home scoring rate and the recent head-to-head pattern at Craven Cottage suggest this may be tighter than the away prices imply.

Fulham vs Newcastle Key Stats

• Both teams have identical league records of 14 wins, 7 draws and 16 losses from 37 matches, with Fulham 13th and Newcastle 11th on 49 points each.
• Across their last five competitive meetings listed, Fulham and Newcastle have produced two wins for Fulham and three for Newcastle, including Fulham’s 3-1 home win on 21 September 2024 in the Premier League.
• Fulham average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per league game, while Newcastle average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded, pointing towards a balanced, relatively low-scoring profile.

Fulham vs Newcastle — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 13 vs 11
• Points: 49 vs 49
• Goals For: 45 vs 53
• Goals Against: 51 vs 53
• Clean Sheets: 8 vs 8

League standings highlight how evenly matched these sides have been across the campaign. Fulham’s 45 goals for and 51 against from 37 matches leave them with a negative goal difference but a safe mid-table cushion. Newcastle, with 53 scored and 53 conceded, have been more explosive in attack but also more open, reflecting a higher-risk style that has produced the same points tally but a slightly better ranking.

Home and away splits add further nuance. Fulham’s 10 home wins and +8 home goal difference (28 scored, 20 conceded) show that Craven Cottage has been a genuine asset. Newcastle’s away record — 4 wins, 5 draws, 9 losses with 17 goals scored and 23 conceded — is more modest. Yet Newcastle’s overall attacking output of 1.4 goals per game compared to Fulham’s 1.2 suggests the visitors may carry the sharper cutting edge if they can translate their home fluency onto their travels.

Fulham vs Newcastle Key Matchups

H. Wilson vs Bruno Guimarães

Harry Wilson has been Fulham’s standout attacking contributor. In 35 league appearances, the midfielder has scored 10 goals and provided 6 assists, underlining his dual threat as both finisher and creator. He has taken 50 shots with 25 on target and delivered 38 key passes from 769 total passes at an 81% accuracy rate. His 7 yellow cards also hint at a combative edge, and he has been heavily involved in transitions, drawing 37 fouls.

Bruno Guimarães is Newcastle’s creative heartbeat. Across 28 appearances, he has scored 9 goals and added 5 assists, with 35 shots and 22 on target. His passing volume is even higher, with 1,404 passes and 46 key passes at an 86% accuracy rate, making him central to Newcastle’s ball progression. Defensively, 62 tackles and 15 interceptions show his influence out of possession, while 72 fouls drawn underline how often he is targeted. The midfield battle between Wilson’s direct attacking output and Bruno’s all-round control could decide which side dictates tempo and territory.

J. Andersen vs A. Gordon

At the back, Fulham’s Joachim Andersen has been a mainstay. In 33 league starts and 2,884 minutes, he has contributed 1 assist and attempted 2,275 passes at 86% accuracy, underlining his role in building from the back. Defensively he has recorded 45 tackles, 19 blocks and 36 interceptions, while engaging in 222 duels and winning 141. His disciplinary record — 7 yellow cards and 1 red — shows an aggressive style that can both break up play and carry risk.

Anthony Gordon offers Newcastle a dynamic attacking outlet. In 26 appearances (24 starts) and 1,817 minutes, he has scored 6 goals and added 2 assists, with 37 shots and 20 on target. His dribbling numbers are eye-catching: 71 attempts with 33 successful, plus 40 fouls drawn, making him a constant threat in one-v-one situations. How Andersen copes with Gordon’s pace and dribbling, while avoiding another red card, will be a key subplot on Fulham’s defensive right side.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent meetings between Fulham and Newcastle have been competitive and often decisive in one-off cup and league contexts. Newcastle have had the upper hand overall, but Fulham have shown they can hurt the Magpies at Craven Cottage.

• 17 December 2025: Newcastle 2-1 Fulham (League Cup)
• 25 October 2025: Newcastle 2-1 Fulham (Premier League)
• 1 February 2025: Newcastle 1-2 Fulham (Premier League)
• 21 September 2024: Fulham 3-1 Newcastle (Premier League)
• 6 April 2024: Fulham 0-1 Newcastle (Premier League)

Fulham vs Newcastle Prediction

Form and metrics point to a finely balanced contest. Fulham’s league form line of DLLWD suggests inconsistency, with just one win in their last five. Newcastle’s WDWLL shows a slightly stronger recent trend, backed up by a better last-five attacking output of 8 goals (1.6 per game) compared to Fulham’s 2 (0.4 per game). Comparative data rates Newcastle higher in attack and overall performance, and the prediction metrics give the visitors a 45% chance of victory and a 45% chance of a draw, with only 10% on a home win, reinforcing the idea that the away side are more likely to avoid defeat.

However, Fulham’s home strength and their recent head-to-head success at Craven Cottage — including a 3-1 win on 21 September 2024 — suggest they will not be overrun. Newcastle’s away scoring average of 0.9 goals per game and Fulham’s home defensive average of 1.1 goals conceded hint at a tight, tactical battle rather than a shootout. With the prediction advice favouring a double chance on draw or Newcastle and both teams sharing identical season records, a cagey, low-scoring encounter with the visitors edging the territory looks most plausible.

Predicted Score: Fulham 1-2 Newcastle

Fulham League Form

DLLWD

Newcastle League Form

WDWLL

Fulham Possible Starting Lineup

B. Leno; T. Castagne, J. Andersen, C. Bassey, A. Robinson; S. Berge, S. Lukić; H. Wilson, E. Smith Rowe, A. Iwobi; Rodrigo Muniz.

Fulham have largely favoured a 4-2-3-1 structure across the campaign, using it in the vast majority of their matches. That shape suits ball-playing centre-back Joachim Andersen and overlapping full-backs like Timothy Castagne and Antonee Robinson, while allowing a creative line of three behind a central striker. Harry Wilson is pivotal in the right half-space, with his 10 goals and 6 assists making him the primary attacking outlet. Rodrigo Muniz offers penalty-box presence up front, and the double pivot of Sander Berge and Saša Lukić provides balance between screening and progression.

Newcastle Possible Starting Lineup

N. Pope; K. Trippier, S. Botman, D. Burn, L. Hall; Bruno Guimarães, Joelinton, J. Willock; A. Gordon, H. Barnes, Y. Wissa.

Newcastle’s most-used shape has been a 4-3-3, and the squad profile supports that approach. Kieran Trippier and Lewis Hall can push high from full-back, with Sven Botman and Dan Burn anchoring the back line. In midfield, Bruno Guimarães orchestrates play, supported by the physical presence of Joelinton and the box-running of Joe Willock. Up front, Anthony Gordon’s dribbling threat from the left, combined with Harvey Barnes and a central striker like Yoane Wissa, gives Newcastle multiple goal sources and suits their 1.4 goals-per-game attacking profile.

Fulham Team News

No significant absences reported.

Newcastle Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Fulham:

• None reported.

Newcastle:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Fulham vs Newcastle

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Newcastle in the Draw No Bet / double-chance style markets. Prediction metrics give Newcastle a 45% win probability and only 10% for Fulham, with the advice explicitly favouring “draw or Newcastle”. In the 1x2 market, away odds range around 2.25–2.36 (for example 2.25 at Bet365 and Betfair, 2.32 at Pinnacle and Marathonbet, and 2.36 at 1xBet), indicating value on the visitors to avoid defeat given their stronger recent form and superior attacking numbers.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 goals appeals. Both sides average 1.4 goals conceded and Newcastle’s away games have seen them score just 17 in 18 matches. Fulham’s overall scoring rate is 1.2 per game, and their under/over profile shows only 6 matches over 2.5 goals from 37. While specific totals odds are not listed here, the match-winner prices — such as 2.94 home / 3.81 draw / 2.32 away at Pinnacle — suggest a relatively balanced, not wildly high-scoring expectation, supporting a cautious goals angle.
• Value Tip: Consider a player-focused angle involving cards on Newcastle’s physical players. Dan Burn and Joelinton have each collected 10 yellow cards in league play, and Fulham’s key creator Harry Wilson has drawn 37 fouls. With the match winner market pricing Newcastle as slight favourites (e.g. 2.25–2.36 away) and Fulham likely to spend spells on the ball at home, backing Newcastle to receive more cards or focusing on a Newcastle card line could offer value, particularly with their aggressive midfield and defensive profile.

How to Watch Fulham vs Newcastle

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.