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Bologna vs Inter Prediction: Preview and Betting Tips

Bologna welcome champions-elect Inter to the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara on 23 May 2026 for the final round of the Serie A regular season. The hosts sit in eighth place on 55 points after 37 matches, while Inter arrive as league leaders with 86 points from the same number of games. With the title wrapped up and European spots still shaping up, this Bologna vs Inter clash should still carry plenty of competitive edge.

From a Bologna perspective, finishing inside the top half is already assured, but a statement result against the best side in Italy this year would underline their progress. Inter, who are guaranteed a place in the “Promotion - Champions League (League phase)” zone, will want to close out their campaign in style and maintain the dominance that has seen them score 86 league goals and concede only 32.

Recent head-to-head history at Dall'Ara and in cup competitions suggests Bologna vs Inter predictions are rarely straightforward. Bologna have claimed notable wins over Inter in both Serie A and the Super Cup in recent years, but the underlying numbers this season – especially Inter’s attacking output and defensive solidity – point towards a high-level test for the home side.

Bologna vs Inter Key Stats

  • Bologna are 8th in Serie A with 55 points from 37 games, scoring 46 and conceding 43.
  • Inter beat Bologna 3-1 at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Serie A on 4 January 2026.
  • Inter average 2.3 goals per league game this season, compared to Bologna’s 1.2.

Bologna vs Inter — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 8 vs 1
  • Points: 55 vs 86
  • Goals For: 46 vs 86
  • Goals Against: 43 vs 32
  • Clean Sheets: 12 vs 18

The season record shows a clear gap between the sides. Bologna’s 16 wins, 7 draws and 14 defeats from 37 matches have produced a positive goal difference of +3, a solid return for a mid‑table outfit. Their attack has been functional rather than explosive, averaging 1.2 goals per game, while conceding 1.2 on average keeps them competitive but rarely dominant.

Inter, by contrast, have been relentless. With 27 wins, 5 draws and only 5 defeats, they sit top of the table on 86 points and a huge goal difference of +54. They score at a rate of 2.3 goals per game and concede just 0.9, backed up by 18 clean sheets across home and away fixtures. Their away record is especially impressive: 13 wins from 18 on the road, with 36 scored and only 16 conceded, underlining why they travel to Bologna as strong favourites.

Bologna vs Inter Key Matchups

R. Orsolini vs Lautaro Martínez

Riccardo Orsolini has been Bologna’s standout attacking threat in Serie A this season. The winger has 10 goals and 1 assist in 35 appearances, with 26 key passes and 31 shots on target from 66 attempts. He also contributes defensively with 21 tackles and 8 interceptions, and is a major set‑piece and penalty asset, converting 4 penalties (though missing 2). If Bologna are to trouble Inter’s backline, Orsolini’s ability to create and finish chances will be central.

On the other side, Lautaro Martínez leads Inter’s line and the league scoring charts. In 29 appearances, he has 17 goals and 6 assists, underlining his dual role as finisher and creator. He has 39 shots on target from 69 attempts and 37 key passes, while also working hard off the ball with 24 tackles and 7 interceptions. His movement between the lines and clinical edge inside the box make him the primary threat to Bologna’s defence.

H. Çalhanoğlu vs F. Dimarco

Hakan Çalhanoğlu has been Inter’s midfield metronome. In 22 league appearances, he has 9 goals and 4 assists, backed by an outstanding passing volume of 1,393 passes with 41 key passes and 90% accuracy. He also adds bite in midfield with 34 tackles and 16 interceptions, plus 4 converted penalties out of 5. His ability to dictate tempo and hurt teams from range or dead balls will test Bologna’s central block.

Federico Dimarco, listed among the top assist providers, offers width and creativity from deeper areas. With 6 goals and 16 assists in 34 appearances, he is Inter’s leading creator, delivering 94 key passes from 1,416 total passes at 83% accuracy. Defensively, he contributes 50 tackles and 30 interceptions, underlining his two‑way importance. The combination of Çalhanoğlu’s central playmaking and Dimarco’s delivery from the flank could stretch Bologna both horizontally and vertically.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent clashes between Bologna and Inter have been remarkably balanced, with both sides enjoying big moments in league and cup competitions. The last five meetings listed below are part of a wider run where Bologna have often punched above their weight against the Milan giants.

  • 4 January 2026: Inter 3-1 Bologna (Serie A)
  • 19 December 2025: Bologna 1-1 Inter (Super Cup)
  • 20 April 2025: Bologna 1-0 Inter (Serie A)
  • 15 January 2025: Inter 2-2 Bologna (Serie A)
  • 9 March 2024: Bologna 0-1 Inter (Serie A)

Bologna vs Inter Prediction

Analysis points to a contest where Inter’s superior attacking and defensive metrics should eventually tell, even away from home. Inter’s last five league games show an attack rated at 92% and defence at 75% in recent performance metrics, with 11 goals scored and only 3 conceded. Bologna’s last five are more modest, with 4 goals scored and 6 conceded, reflecting their “47%” recent form.

Head‑to‑head history at Dall'Ara gives Bologna some hope, with recent home wins and tight scorelines, but Inter’s overall edge in form, goals and clean sheets, combined with a 45% win probability versus only 10% for Bologna, tilts the balance. Expect Bologna to be competitive and possibly on the scoresheet, but Inter’s attacking depth and game management should see them over the line.

Predicted Score: Bologna 1-2 Inter

Bologna League Form

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Inter League Form

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Bologna Possible Starting Lineup

Ł. Skorupski; L. De Silvestri, J. Lucumí, C. Lykogiannis, Juan Miranda; R. Freuler, N. Moro; L. Ferguson, F. Bernardeschi, R. Orsolini; T. Dallinga.

Bologna have typically favoured back‑four systems such as 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3, and the available squad profile fits that shape. Skorupski offers experience in goal, with De Silvestri, Lucumí, Lykogiannis and Juan Miranda providing a mix of physicality and crossing from full‑back. In midfield, Freuler and Moro can screen the defence and recycle possession, allowing Ferguson and Bernardeschi to support Orsolini and Dallinga in advanced areas. However, absences in defence and attack reduce rotation options and could limit Bologna’s ability to adjust if they fall behind.

Inter Possible Starting Lineup

Y. Sommer; F. Acerbi, A. Bastoni, S. de Vrij; D. Dumfries, F. Dimarco; H. Çalhanoğlu, N. Barella, H. Mkhitaryan; Lautaro Martínez, M. Thuram.

Inter have used a 3-5-2 in all 37 league fixtures, and the personnel listed fit that template perfectly. Sommer anchors a back three of Acerbi, Bastoni and de Vrij, offering aerial dominance and ball‑playing quality. Dumfries and Dimarco provide width and high volume crossing, while a midfield trio led by Çalhanoğlu and Barella ensures control and creativity. Up front, the partnership of Lautaro and Thuram combines movement, physicality and finishing, making Inter dangerous in transition and sustained possession.

Bologna Team News

Bologna face several confirmed absences for this fixture, particularly in defence and attack. K. Bonifazi is unavailable, while N. Cambiaghi, N. Casale and M. Vitík are all ruled out with various injuries. These losses reduce depth at the back and in wide attacking areas, potentially forcing Bologna to lean heavily on Orsolini and Bernardeschi for creativity and on the remaining centre‑backs for stability against Inter’s powerful front line.

Inter Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Bologna:

  • K. Bonifazi — Reason: Inactive
  • N. Cambiaghi — Reason: Muscle Injury
  • N. Casale — Reason: Calf Injury
  • M. Vitik — Reason: Ankle Injury

Inter:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Bologna vs Inter

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Back Inter to win. Inter have 27 wins from 37 league games and a 63.5% overall edge in comparative metrics, with their win probability rated at 45% against Bologna’s 10%. Away prices around 2.20–2.26 are available with major bookmakers such as 10Bet (2.20) and Pinnacle (2.26), offering fair value given Inter’s dominance.
  • Goals Tip: Back over 1.5 total goals. Inter average 2.3 goals scored per match and concede 0.9, while Bologna’s games average 2.4 total goals (1.2 for, 1.2 against). Recent head‑to‑heads have produced scorelines like 3-1, 2-2 and 1-0, indicating regular scoring. While specific over/under odds are not listed, the attacking profiles suggest a goals‑friendly contest.
  • Value Tip: Lautaro Martínez to score anytime. With 17 goals and 6 assists in 29 appearances, plus 39 shots on target, Lautaro is Inter’s primary goal threat. Inter are priced around 2.15–2.30 to win with firms like William Hill (2.15) and Betfair (2.30); combining a Lautaro goal with an Inter victory in a bet builder should produce an attractive price relative to his strike rate and Inter’s attacking metrics.

How to Watch Bologna vs Inter

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

  • Spain: Movistar LaLiga
  • UK: Premier Sports
  • Australia: beIN Sports
  • India: FanCode
  • MENA: beIN Sports
  • South America: ESPN / Disney+
  • Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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