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Mikel Arteta's Dilemma: Max Dowman's Future at Arsenal

Mikel Arteta is already weighing up a January crossroads for Arsenal prodigy Max Dowman – even as the teenager’s star continues to rise in north London.

The 16-year-old, one of the most highly regarded young players in English football, struck twice in Arsenal’s 4-2 League Cup win over Ipswich Town on Tuesday, another jolt of evidence that he belongs on a big stage. Supporters inside the Emirates can feel it. They want more. They want him now.

Arteta, though, is thinking six months ahead.

Arsenal’s jewel, kept on a tight leash

Dowman has come through the Arsenal academy and forced his way into the first-team squad, operating either as an attacking midfielder or out wide. He already owns a slice of Premier League history: last season he became the youngest scorer the competition has seen, and the youngest ever for Arsenal.

Yet this campaign, with Arsenal defending their Premier League crown, he has not played a single minute in the top flight. Across all competitions for the club, he sits on three goals and one assist from 14 appearances – flashes rather than a run.

That is exactly the balance Arteta is trying to manage.

“We will evaluate every six months where we are and what is the best thing for him to do and then make the right decision,” the Arsenal manager told BBC Sport when asked about Dowman’s future. “It depends on a lot of factors.

“What he needs, and what the team needs as well, the availability we have in the squad, the minutes that he is playing and the qualities of those minutes.

“We have to be open, but now the focus is to be here and to impact the team.”

For fans who see a “gem” and crave more of him in red and white, the idea of a loan in January will sting. Arteta made it clear, though, that nothing is off the table.

Arteta’s own journey shapes his thinking

Arteta has been here before – not as a manager, but as a teenager trying to break through. His own experience colours the way he views Dowman’s next step.

“There have been many cases of that age when they have gone out and been successful and others not,” he said. “In my particular case, I was 17 when I went to Paris [St-Germain].

“It depends on the atmosphere that you find there, and how much the coach believes in you as to whether you go there just to be part of a squad or play minutes.

“Which country, it depends.

“But now he is in a good place, let’s keep him here.”

That last line will encourage those desperate to see Dowman stay in north London, at least in the short term. Arteta admitted Arsenal had not seriously entertained loan options in the summer.

“We haven’t really listened to any of the possibilities because we were crystal clear that we wanted to have Max in the squad, that we wanted him to be part of the pre-season and then start to see where we are from there,” he said.

The message is consistent: Arsenal want control over his development, whether that means carefully rationed minutes at the Emirates or a carefully chosen move away.

Knocking on the door the hard way

Dowman’s brace against Ipswich has inevitably sparked talk of a Premier League outing as soon as this weekend, when Arsenal face Brighton and Hove Albion. Arteta did not close that door. He simply pointed to the only way through it.

“The best way to knock on the door is to do it on the pitch, not in the office,” he said. “Then you just leave out the arguments.

“When a player delivers constantly on the pitch, every single day in training, that’s the best way, that’s the best signal for the manager.

“That’s the best signal for his teammates, too.

“And what Max did the other day, alongside all the other players as well that haven’t played many minutes this season, was really impressive.”

The numbers, the records, the hype – they all say Dowman is coming. January will reveal whether his next steps are taken under the Emirates lights or somewhere else, with Arsenal gambling that a short spell away could turn a teenage sensation into a long-term mainstay.