Hellas Verona vs AS Roma Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Hellas Verona welcome AS Roma to the Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi in Verona on 24 May 2026 for the final round of Serie A’s Regular Season - 38. It is a meeting of teams at opposite ends of the table: Verona are fighting through a grim campaign near the bottom, while Roma arrive in a strong position near the top.

Verona sit 19th with 21 points from 37 matches, locked in the “Relegation - Serie B” zone and carrying a goal difference of -34. With only 3 wins all season and just 25 goals scored, survival hopes are hanging by a thread. By contrast, Roma are 4th on 70 points from 37 games, in the “Promotion - Champions League (League phase)” places, and will want to seal a top-four finish in style.

The venue adds intrigue: Bentegodi has not been a fortress for Verona this year, while Roma’s away record has been solid enough to underpin a Champions League push. With Roma heavily favoured in the betting and recent form strongly in their favour, this clash shapes up as a classic end-of-season matchup between a relegation struggler and a Champions League qualifier.

Hellas Verona vs AS Roma Key Stats

• Hellas Verona are 19th with 21 points from 37 matches, having won just 3 league games and scored 25 goals while conceding 59.
• In their most recent Serie A meeting on 28 September 2025 at Stadio Olimpico, AS Roma beat Hellas Verona 2-0.
• Roma have kept 17 clean sheets in the league this season, compared to Verona’s 6, highlighting a major defensive gap.

Hellas Verona vs AS Roma — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 19 vs 4
• Points: 21 vs 70
• Goals For: 25 vs 57
• Goals Against: 59 vs 31
• Clean Sheets: 6 vs 17

The standings paint a stark picture. Verona’s 21 points from 37 games, with only 3 wins and a -34 goal difference, underline why they are entrenched in the relegation zone. They have struggled both home and away, with just 1 win at Bentegodi and only 12 home goals scored, conceding 26 in 18 home outings.

Roma, by contrast, have put together a strong campaign. Sitting 4th with 70 points, they have 22 wins and a +26 goal difference, scoring 57 and conceding just 31. Their away record of 9 wins from 18 matches, with 24 goals scored and 21 conceded, shows they are capable travellers. With a Champions League place already in their grasp by description, this fixture is about consolidating status and momentum heading into the off-season.

Hellas Verona vs AS Roma Key Matchups

G. Orban vs D. Malen

For Verona, Gift Emmanuel Orban is one of the few bright sparks in attack. The forward has 7 goals and 2 assists in 28 appearances, with 61 shots and 28 on target, underlining that he is their main volume shooter. He has also converted 2 penalties and drawn 21 fouls, showing he can trouble defences when given service.

On the opposite side, Donyell Malen has been a standout for Roma. In just 17 appearances, all starts, he has scored 13 goals and provided 2 assists, with 46 shots and 29 on target. His finishing efficiency and ability to play the full 90 (1,394 minutes) make him a constant threat. If Orban represents Verona’s hope of an upset, Malen is Roma’s primary weapon to kill the contest early.

R. Gagliardini vs M. Soulé

In midfield, Roberto Gagliardini is a key figure for Verona. Across 29 appearances and 2,216 minutes, he has contributed 1 goal but, more importantly, brings defensive steel: 73 tackles, 13 blocks and 54 interceptions, along with 1,166 passes at 81% accuracy. His 10 yellow cards highlight how often he is involved in breaking up play.

For Roma, Matías Soulé offers creativity and end product. In 32 appearances (27 starts), he has 6 goals and 5 assists, supported by 953 passes at 84% accuracy and an impressive 45 key passes. Soulé also attempts 92 dribbles, succeeding 34 times, and draws 40 fouls. The battle between Gagliardini’s ball-winning and Soulé’s flair could dictate whether Verona can disrupt Roma’s attacking rhythm.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent head-to-head meetings have been competitive, with both sides enjoying wins home and away in Serie A. The last five clashes show a mix of narrow margins and high-scoring encounters.

• 28 September 2025: AS Roma 2-0 Hellas Verona (Serie A)
• 19 April 2025: AS Roma 1-0 Hellas Verona (Serie A)
• 3 November 2024: Hellas Verona 3-2 AS Roma (Serie A)
• 20 January 2024: AS Roma 2-1 Hellas Verona (Serie A)
• 26 August 2023: Hellas Verona 2-1 AS Roma (Serie A)

Hellas Verona vs AS Roma Prediction

Stats suggest a one-sided contest. Verona’s league form string of DLDDL and a season record of just 25 goals from 37 games (0.7 per match) point to a side that struggles badly in attack. Defensively, they concede 1.6 goals per game on average and have failed to score in 19 matches across the campaign.

Roma arrive in far better shape, with a league form of WWWWD and 12 goals scored in their last five matches according to recent metrics. The prediction metrics give Roma a 45% win probability versus 10% for Verona, with 45% on the draw, and the overall comparison tilts 69.0% in Roma’s favour. Given Verona’s poor home record and Roma’s superior attacking and defensive numbers, an away win looks the most likely outcome, though the draw percentage suggests Verona might keep it competitive for stretches.

Predicted Score: Hellas Verona 0-2 AS Roma

Hellas Verona League Form

DLDDL

AS Roma League Form

WWWWD

Hellas Verona Possible Starting Lineup

Montipò; M. Frese, V. Nelsson, A. Bella-Kotchap; Pol Lirola, R. Gagliardini, J. Akpa Akpro, S. Serdar, A. Harroui; G. Orban, A. Sarr.

Verona have predominantly used back-three systems such as 3-5-2 and 3-5-1-1, and the personnel available suggest another three-centre-back setup with wing-backs like M. Frese and Pol Lirola providing width. In midfield, Gagliardini and Akpa Akpro offer work rate and defensive coverage, while S. Serdar or A. Harroui can link play. Up front, Orban is likely to spearhead the attack with support from a partner like A. Sarr, but with Verona averaging just 0.7 goals per game, breaking down Roma’s well-drilled defence will be a major challenge.

AS Roma Possible Starting Lineup

M. Svilar; G. Mancini, Hermoso, E. Ndicka; Z. Çelik, Wesley, B. Cristante, Angeliño; M. Soulé, P. Dybala; D. Malen.

Roma have favoured a 3-4-2-1 shape, and the squad profile fits that structure. A back three anchored by Mancini and Hermoso, with wing-backs like Z. Çelik and Angeliño, provides both defensive solidity and width. In midfield, Wesley and Cristante can control tempo and shield the defence, while Soulé and Dybala operate between the lines behind Malen. With Malen’s 13 goals and Soulé’s 11 direct goal contributions, Roma have multiple threats capable of exploiting Verona’s leaky back line.

Hellas Verona Team News

No significant absences reported.

AS Roma Team News

Roma will be without E. Bove, who is unavailable for this fixture due to heart problems, slightly reducing their midfield depth but not fundamentally altering their likely starting structure.

Injuries & Suspensions

Hellas Verona:

• None reported.

AS Roma:

• E. Bove — Reason: heart problems

Betting Tips: Hellas Verona vs AS Roma

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back AS Roma to win. Roma are 4th with 70 points and in WWWWD league form, while Verona are 19th with just 3 wins and DLDDL form. The prediction metrics give Roma a strong edge (69.0% overall comparison, winner flagged as Roma). Several bookmakers price the away win short, with odds around 1.29–1.35 (e.g. 1.30 at Bet365, 1.31 at Pinnacle, 1.35 at 1xBet), reflecting their clear superiority.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. Verona average only 0.7 goals scored per match and have gone under higher goal thresholds frequently (only 1 match over 2.5). Roma’s defence concedes 0.8 per game and has 17 clean sheets. A controlled away performance points towards a relatively low-scoring contest, with the most plausible range 0–3 goals. Look for an Under 3.5 or similar goal line in the markets; combine this angle with Roma’s solid defensive record.
• Value Tip: D. Malen to score anytime in a Roma win (where available as a builder). Malen has 13 goals in 17 appearances and is Roma’s primary finisher, while Verona concede 1.6 goals per game and struggle late in matches. With Roma heavily favoured (away odds around 1.30 across major firms like William Hill, Unibet and Bet365), coupling a Malen goal with a Roma victory can boost the price into a more attractive range for bettors seeking value.

How to Watch Hellas Verona vs AS Roma

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.