Getafe vs Osasuna Prediction: Key Stats, Team News and Betting Tips

Getafe welcome Osasuna to the Coliseum in Madrid for the final round of La Liga’s regular season, with both sides aiming to close out on a positive note. The hosts arrive in a strong position in the table, sitting seventh with 48 points from 37 matches, already in the zone described as “Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)”. Osasuna, by contrast, are looking to put a difficult campaign behind them, down in 16th on 42 points and still mathematically within reach of lower-placed sides.

This Getafe vs Osasuna clash has the feel of a classic mid-table La Liga betting puzzle: a defensively solid home side with limited firepower against an away team that scores more overall but has struggled badly on the road. With tight margins in the betting markets and a long H2H history of close contests, this fixture is likely to attract plenty of interest from punters looking for value angles on the final weekend.

Played at the Coliseum, where Getafe have been stubborn all year, this match will test whether Osasuna’s attacking spearhead can break down one of the division’s more disciplined defensive units. With European qualification already effectively secured for Getafe and Osasuna safely clear of the bottom three, the stakes are more about pride, finishing positions and, for bettors, identifying where the odds do not fully reflect the underlying numbers.

Getafe vs Osasuna Key Stats

• Getafe are 7th in La Liga with 48 points, despite scoring only 31 goals and conceding 38 across 37 matches.
• In their most recent league meeting on 3 October 2025, Osasuna beat Getafe 2-1 at Estadio El Sadar in La Liga.
• Getafe have kept 11 clean sheets in the league, while Osasuna have managed 7, underlining the hosts’ defensive edge.

Getafe vs Osasuna — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 7 vs 16
• Points: 48 vs 42
• Goals For: 31 vs 44
• Goals Against: 38 vs 49
• Clean Sheets: 11 vs 7

The season record shows two very different profiles. Getafe’s 31 goals in 37 games is one of the leaner attacking returns in the division, but their 38 conceded is a top-half defensive figure. That balance, combined with 14 wins and only 38 goals against, has been enough to place them seventh and in a European qualification slot heading into the final round.

Osasuna, meanwhile, have scored 44 and conceded 49, reflecting a more open style. They are strong at home but extremely fragile away: just 2 wins, 4 draws and 12 defeats on their travels, with 13 goals scored and 25 conceded. While they sit 16th, their overall goal output is higher than Getafe’s, but the defensive record and away form have dragged them into the lower reaches of the table.

Getafe vs Osasuna Key Matchups

Luis Milla vs A. Budimir

Luis Milla has been Getafe’s creative heartbeat from midfield. He has started all 36 of his league appearances, logging 3,188 minutes and supplying 10 assists — an elite return in this division. With 1,352 total passes at 77% accuracy and 79 key passes, much of Getafe’s limited attacking output runs through his right foot. He also contributes defensively with 56 tackles and 42 interceptions, underlining his all-round influence.

On the other side, Ante Budimir is Osasuna’s primary goal threat and one of La Liga’s standout strikers this year. In 36 appearances (34 starts), he has scored 17 league goals, taking 88 shots with 41 on target. His aerial presence and penalty-box instincts are complemented by 15 key passes and 6 penalties scored from 8 attempts. This matchup is as much about Milla’s ability to control territory and limit Osasuna’s transitions as it is about Budimir’s finishing; if Getafe can starve the Croatian of service, their defensive structure should hold.

Domingos Duarte vs Catena

At the back, Domingos Duarte has been a defensive pillar for Getafe. Across 33 appearances and 2,838 minutes, he has chipped in with 1 goal and 1 assist, but his main value lies in 32 tackles, 16 blocks and 33 interceptions. His 868 passes at 76% accuracy show he is comfortable building from deep, while 12 yellow cards highlight how often he is involved in key defensive duels.

For Osasuna, Catena plays a similar role as a ball-playing centre-back. In 34 starts and 2,989 minutes, he has scored 3 goals and provided 2 assists, with 14 shots and 4 on target. His passing numbers are even more impressive: 1,673 passes at 85% accuracy and 12 key passes, plus 38 tackles, 32 blocks and 33 interceptions. With 11 yellow cards and 1 red, he walks a fine disciplinary line. This duel between two aggressive centre-backs will shape how high each defensive line can hold and how much risk they can take in possession.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent meetings between Getafe and Osasuna have been tight, often decided by a single goal. Across the last five La Liga clashes, both sides have claimed wins, with draws sprinkled in, underlining how evenly matched they tend to be.

• 3 October 2025: Osasuna 2-1 Getafe (La Liga)
• 16 March 2025: Osasuna 1-2 Getafe (La Liga)
• 5 October 2024: Getafe 1-1 Osasuna (La Liga)
• 21 January 2024: Osasuna 3-2 Getafe (La Liga)
• 17 September 2023: Getafe 3-2 Osasuna (La Liga)

Getafe vs Osasuna Prediction

Analysis points to a cagey, low-scoring contest. Getafe’s league form string of “LWDLL” suggests inconsistency, but their season-long defensive metrics and 11 clean sheets indicate they are difficult to break down, especially at home. Osasuna’s “LLLLW” run highlights a poor recent spell, particularly at the back, despite a better attacking average over the campaign.

The prediction percentages give Getafe a 45% chance of victory, with another 45% on the draw and only 10% on an Osasuna win, and the advice leans towards a double chance in favour of the hosts. With both teams averaging under 1.3 goals scored per game and Getafe’s matches skewing heavily towards under 2.5 goals, a narrow home success or stalemate is the likeliest outcome.

Predicted Score: Getafe 1-0 Osasuna

Getafe League Form

LWDLL

Osasuna League Form

LLLLW

Getafe Possible Starting Lineup

David Soria; Domingos Duarte, D. Dakonam, A. Abqar, Diego Rico, Kiko Femenía; Luis Milla, Javi Muñoz, Mario Martín; Borja Mayoral, Juanmi

Getafe have consistently favoured back-five and back-four systems, with formations such as 5-3-2 and 4-4-2 used most often. The presence of experienced defenders like Domingos Duarte, D. Dakonam and A. Abqar supports a compact, physically strong back line, while Luis Milla provides the passing range and creativity from midfield. In attack, options such as Borja Mayoral and Juanmi offer movement ahead of Milla’s supply, but the overall approach is likely to remain cautious and structured.

Osasuna Possible Starting Lineup

Aitor Fernández; Catena, F. Boyomo, Juan Cruz; Moncayola, Lucas Torró, Aimar Oroz; Rubén García, Raul Moro; A. Budimir

Osasuna have leaned heavily on a 4-2-3-1 base shape, with flexibility to shift into back-three systems such as 3-4-3. Catena anchors the defence with his distribution and aerial presence, while Moncayola’s 1,369 passes and 38 key passes from midfield point to a key role in progression. Further forward, creative players like Aimar Oroz and Rubén García can link with Ante Budimir, whose 17 goals make him the focal point. However, given their poor away record, they may balance this with a more conservative structure out of possession.

Getafe Team News

No significant absences reported.

Osasuna Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Getafe:

• None reported.

Osasuna:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Getafe vs Osasuna

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Getafe in the Draw No Bet or Double Chance market. With a 45% home win probability and only 10% assigned to an Osasuna victory, plus Getafe’s stronger defensive record and Osasuna’s 2 away wins all season, siding with the hosts while covering the draw looks sensible. Match-winner odds for Getafe range around 2.50 with major firms such as Bet365 and Unibet, reflecting their status as slight favourites.
• Goals Tip: Under 2.5 goals. Getafe average 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, and Osasuna’s away games yield just 0.7 scored and 1.4 conceded on average. Many of their recent H2H clashes have been tight, and the defensive emphasis of Getafe suggests a low-scoring encounter. While specific under/over odds are not listed, the general match-winner prices (for example, 2.68–2.88 on the draw) imply bookmakers also expect a close, potentially low-margin game.
• Value Tip: A. Budimir to score anytime or Osasuna to score at least once. Budimir has 17 goals from 36 appearances and is central to Osasuna’s attack, with 88 shots and 41 on target. Even against a solid Getafe defence, his volume of chances and penalty duties create upside. With Osasuna priced as high as 3.64 for the away win at Pinnacle and 3.60 at Marathonbet, derivative markets involving their main scorer could offer better value than the outright result.

How to Watch Getafe vs Osasuna

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.