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Brazil's World Cup Journey: Key Match Against Norway

Brazil’s World Cup campaign has been building like a drumbeat. On Sunday night at New York New Jersey Stadium, it hits another key note: a Round of 16 meeting with Norway and the first real test of how far Carlo Ancelotti’s side can go.

They come into the knockouts with a swagger that’s been earned, not assumed. A cagey 1-1 opener against Morocco gave way to the kind of football Brazil still believes is its birthright: back‑to‑back 3-0 wins over Haiti and Scotland, the scorelines underlining a team that has found both fluency and edge.

Then came the scare.

Against Japan in the Round of 32, Brazil had to dig. They trailed, they toiled, and they stared at the prospect of an early exit. Instead, they produced the kind of late surge that defines tournament contenders. A furious final push ended with Gabriel Martinelli arriving in the 96th minute to slam in a winner that felt as much like a statement as a goal. Brazil were not ready to go home. Not yet.

Ancelotti’s balancing act

The price of that intensity is starting to show. Brazil arrive in New York with a significant hole in midfield. Lucas Paquetá, one of Ancelotti’s key structural pieces and a creative fulcrum between the lines, has been ruled out after suffering a left thigh injury in the final group game against Japan.

It changes the entire feel of the midfield. Paquetá links, probes, drifts into awkward pockets. Without him, Brazil lose a layer of subtlety.

Ancelotti, though, still has cards to play. Raphinha has returned to training after his hamstring problem and is fit enough to make the squad. He is expected to start on the bench, held back as a weapon rather than a risk, the staff wary of pushing him too hard too soon.

Neymar, by contrast, is ready. Fully fit, cleared to go the distance, he remains the reference point for everything Brazil want to be in possession. Alongside him, Casemiro has also been passed fit after a late test, easing fears sparked when he was withdrawn as a precaution in the previous game. His presence adds steel and authority in front of the back four, a shield Ancelotti will not want to be without.

The real question lies in how Brazil replace Paquetá’s craft. The manager is expected to turn to either Danilo Santos or the precocious Endrick to shoulder more of the creative responsibility in midfield. Danilo offers control and discipline, a smoother transition from the existing structure. Endrick brings risk, unpredictability, and a willingness to break lines with the kind of daring that can tilt knockout ties.

Whichever way Ancelotti leans will say plenty about his approach to this stage of the tournament: control the game, or try to rip it open.

How Brazil are likely to shape up

The spine of the side looks settled. Alisson should continue in goal, with Danilo and Douglas Santos operating as the full-backs and Marquinhos partnered by Gabriel at the heart of defence.

In midfield, Bruno Guimarães and Casemiro are set to form the base, offering bite, balance, and the first pass forward. The third midfield slot, in Paquetá’s absence, is where Danilo Santos is currently the favourite to start, giving Brazil a more measured creative presence.

Ahead of them, the attack carries menace. Rayan and Vini Jr. will look to stretch and torment from wide areas, while Cunha is expected to lead the line, pressing from the front and providing the focal point for Neymar and the runners around him to play off. With Raphinha waiting in reserve, Ancelotti has the option to change the picture from the bench if the game tightens.

Probable Brazil XI: Alisson; Danilo, Marquinhos, Gabriel, Douglas Santos; Guimarães, Casemiro, Danilo Santos; Rayan, Cunha, Vini Jr.

Stage, stakes, and spotlight

Kick-off comes at 9pm BST on Sunday, 5th July, with UK viewers able to watch the tie live on ITV1. By then, the noise around this Brazil team will be deafening.

They have shown they can entertain. They have shown they can suffer and still find a way. Now comes the harder question, the one that decides tournaments: can they keep walking this tightrope between flair and resilience when the margin for error disappears?

Brazil's World Cup Journey: Key Match Against Norway