sportnaija.ng

Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Atlético Ottawa welcome Supra du Quebec to TD Place Stadium in Canadian Premier League Group Stage action on 9 June 2026, with just a single point separating the sides in a tightly packed early table. Ottawa sit fourth with 11 points from 9 matches, in the play-off semi-final positions, while Supra are fifth on 10 points from 7 games and looking to leapfrog their hosts.

This fixture already has the feel of a mini six-pointer in the Canadian Premier League, with both clubs eyeing a strong position in the play-off race. Atlético Ottawa have been solid at home but leaky overall, while Supra du Quebec have shown a balanced goal record and a slightly sturdier defence across fewer matches. With their only previous meeting this season ending in an away win for Ottawa, the return at TD Place adds an extra layer of intrigue.

Stats suggest a tight contest between two evenly matched sides, with Ottawa’s attacking output and home record set against Supra’s more efficient defensive numbers. With both teams hovering around mid-table but with clear upside, this clash could prove pivotal in shaping the narrative of the Canadian Premier League Group Stage.

Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec Key Stats

  • Atlético Ottawa are 4th with 11 points from 9 matches (10 goals for, 15 against), currently in the Canadian Premier League play-off semi-final positions.
  • The only previous meeting between these sides on 19 April 2026 saw Supra du Quebec 0-1 Atlético Ottawa at CEPSUM Stadium in the Canadian Premier League Group Stage.
  • Atlético Ottawa average 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Supra du Quebec average 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded.

Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 4 vs 5
  • Points: 11 vs 10
  • Goals For: 10 vs 9
  • Goals Against: 15 vs 8
  • Clean Sheets: Atlético Ottawa 2; Supra du Quebec 0

The season record shows Atlético Ottawa slightly ahead in the standings, but with more games played and a negative goal difference of -5. Their 10 goals in 9 matches underline a modest attacking return, yet the 15 conceded highlight defensive vulnerabilities, particularly away from home. Crucially, their status in the play-off semi-final positions reflects a side that has found ways to win key fixtures despite inconsistency.

Supra du Quebec, by contrast, have played only 7 matches, taking 10 points with a positive goal difference of +1. They have scored 9 and conceded 8, suggesting a more balanced profile. Their defensive record is notably better than Ottawa’s on a per-game basis, and with one game in hand, a win at TD Place would see them overtake their hosts and strengthen their own play-off credentials. Overall, the numbers back the view that this is a near 50-50 contest in performance terms, even if the table currently leans slightly towards Atlético Ottawa.

Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec Key Matchups

Emiliano García vs M. Chretien

Emiliano García has been one of Atlético Ottawa’s most efficient attacking outlets. The 22-year-old attacker has 1 goal from 8 appearances, with 4 starts and 111 minutes played. He has converted his only shot on target, contributed 22 passes at 86% accuracy, and chipped in with 1 key pass. His 7 duels won from 11 and 2 successful dribbles from 2 attempts underline a player capable of making the most of limited touches.

Opposing him, Supra du Quebec defender M. Chretien has been a standout performer at the back. With 1 goal from 7 appearances (6 starts) and 135 minutes, he offers a set-piece threat, but his defensive metrics are even more impressive: 108 passes at 91% accuracy, 4 tackles, 4 blocks, 1 interception and 10 duels won from 13. His 3 successful dribbles from 3 attempts show composure in possession. This battle between García’s sharp movement and Chretien’s assured defending could be decisive in whether Ottawa can break through.

Manuel Aparicio vs Sean Rea

In midfield, Manuel Aparicio is central to Atlético Ottawa’s creativity and work rate. Across 8 appearances and 270 minutes, he has delivered 1 assist, 180 passes at 82% accuracy and 2 key passes. Defensively, he has 6 tackles, 1 block and 8 interceptions, plus 5 duels won from 31 and 5 fouls drawn. His 3 yellow cards underline his combative edge, but also a risk of disciplinary issues in tight games.

For Supra du Quebec, Sean Rea fills a similar creative role. In 7 appearances (6 starts) and 119 minutes, he has 1 assist and a strong 5 key passes from 70 total passes at 84% accuracy. He has also drawn 2 fouls and contributed 1 interception. While Rea’s defensive numbers are lighter, his chance creation rate is high relative to his minutes. The midfield contest between Aparicio’s box-to-box influence and Rea’s incisive passing will shape the supply lines for both attacks.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These clubs have only met once in competitive action so far, with Atlético Ottawa drawing first blood away from home. With such a limited sample, trends are tentative, but Ottawa will take confidence from having already won on Supra’s turf.

  • 19 April 2026: Supra du Quebec 0-1 Atlético Ottawa (Canadian Premier League)

Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec Prediction

Analysis points to a finely balanced encounter. Atlético Ottawa bring home advantage and a slightly superior attacking record, as well as the psychological edge of having already beaten Supra du Quebec 1-0 away in April. Their clean-sheet tally of 2 also suggests they are capable of shutting games down when needed, particularly at TD Place.

Supra du Quebec, however, have the more solid defensive numbers over seven matches and a goal difference in the black. Their league form string in recent fixtures reflects a side capable of both scoring and keeping matches tight. The prediction metrics give Ottawa a strong edge in the double-chance market, with 45% home win probability and 45% draw versus only 10% for an away victory. That points towards the hosts avoiding defeat more often than not, but the conservative goals projection suggests another low-scoring affair.

Predicted Score: Atlético Ottawa 1-0 Supra du Quebec

Atlético Ottawa League Form

LLWDLWWDL

Supra du Quebec League Form

WLWLLDW

Atlético Ottawa Possible Starting Lineup

T. Crampton (GK); N. Abatneh, W. Timóteo, M. Stojadinovic, T. Walker (Defenders); M. Aparicio, D. Aguilar, K. Habibullah, G. Antinoro (Midfielders); E. García, B. Tabla (Forwards).

Ottawa’s squad profile suggests a back line built around W. Timóteo and M. Stojadinovic, with T. Crampton likely between the posts. In midfield, the presence of M. Aparicio and D. Aguilar offers both creativity and bite, while K. Habibullah adds impact in advanced areas. Up front, E. García’s efficiency and B. Tabla’s experience provide a balanced attacking threat. With no reported injuries, Ottawa can lean on continuity and a familiar 3-4-3 structure that has been used in several matches this campaign.

Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup

Information on the full Supra du Quebec squad is limited, but key figures are likely to feature: D. Abzi and C. Auguste in defence; Sean Rea, Safwane Mlah, Alessandro Biello and O. Boughanmi in midfield; M. Chretien as a defensive pillar with set-piece threat.

Supra’s shape is likely to prioritise defensive solidity, with ball-playing defenders such as M. Chretien and attack-minded full-backs like D. Abzi and C. Auguste. In midfield, the technical quality of Rea and Mlah, combined with the work rate of Biello and the combative presence of O. Boughanmi, should provide balance. Their lack of clean sheets so far suggests they will sit relatively deep and look to counter, relying on set pieces and late surges to trouble Ottawa.

Atlético Ottawa Team News

No significant absences reported.

Supra du Quebec Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Atlético Ottawa:

  • None reported.

Supra du Quebec:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Atlético Ottawa or Draw (Double Chance). With the prediction metrics giving 45% home win and 45% draw versus just 10% away win, backing the hosts to avoid defeat aligns strongly with the underlying probabilities and their previous 1-0 victory away at Supra.
  • Goals Tip: Under 2.5 Goals. Ottawa average 1.1 goals for and 1.7 against, while Supra average 1.3 for and 1.1 against, and their only prior meeting finished 1-0. The conservative goal projection and both teams’ tendency towards tight scorelines suggest a low-scoring contest.
  • Value Tip: Atlético Ottawa to Win to Nil. Ottawa have 2 clean sheets this season and already shut out Supra 1-0 away. Supra have failed to score in 3 of their 7 matches, making a home win with a clean sheet an appealing higher-risk, higher-reward angle.

How to Watch Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

  • Spain: Movistar LaLiga
  • UK: Premier Sports
  • Australia: beIN Sports
  • India: FanCode
  • MENA: beIN Sports
  • South America: ESPN / Disney+
  • Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

Related News