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Liverpool vs Brentford Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Liverpool welcome Brentford to Anfield on 24 May 2026 for the final round of the Premier League regular season, with both sides aiming to sign off on a positive note. Under the watch of referee D. England at one of English football’s most iconic venues, this clash pits a top-four contender against one of the division’s most awkward mid‑table operators.

The standings underline what is at stake. Liverpool sit 5th with 59 points from 37 matches, firmly in the Champions League league-phase positions and looking to lock that status in style. Brentford arrive in 9th on 52 points, safely in mid-table but within touching distance of a top‑half finish that would cap a strong campaign. For those searching for Liverpool vs Brentford prediction angles or Premier League betting tips, this is a fixture rich with narrative and numbers.

With Liverpool boasting a strong home record and Brentford proving competitive against elite opposition, the match shapes up as a compelling final‑day betting prospect. Stats suggest a tight contest where Liverpool’s attacking depth faces Brentford’s efficiency in both boxes, making this an attractive game for anyone studying Liverpool vs Brentford odds and value markets.

Liverpool vs Brentford Key Stats

  • Liverpool are 5th in the Premier League with 59 points, scoring 62 and conceding 52 across 37 league matches.
  • In their most recent league meeting on 25 October 2025, Brentford beat Liverpool 3-2 at Brentford Community Stadium in the Premier League.
  • Liverpool average 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per league game, while Brentford average 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Liverpool vs Brentford — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 5 vs 9
  • Points: 59 vs 52
  • Goals For: 62 vs 54
  • Goals Against: 52 vs 51
  • Clean Sheets: Liverpool 10 vs Brentford 10

The league table paints a picture of two sides that are closer than their reputations might suggest. Liverpool’s 62 goals for and 52 against from 37 matches highlight a high‑event side that can overwhelm opponents but also leave space at the back. Their 5th place, coupled with a Champions League league‑phase description, confirms they have already operated at a high level over the campaign despite inconsistency.

Brentford, 9th with 52 points, have quietly put together a strong season. With 54 goals scored and 51 conceded, their goal difference is only marginally worse than Liverpool’s, and they share the same total of 10 clean sheets. Liverpool’s home record (33 scored, 19 conceded) remains a major strength, but Brentford’s ability to compete in both home and away settings suggests they are more than capable of making this a contest rather than a procession.

Liverpool vs Brentford Key Matchups

H. Ekitike vs Thiago

In attack, Liverpool’s H. Ekitike has been a key figure. Across 28 league appearances (21 starts, 1,810 minutes), he has scored 11 goals and added 4 assists. His 48 shots with 19 on target and 21 key passes underline his dual threat as both finisher and creator, while a passing accuracy of 76% shows he can knit play together in the final third.

Brentford’s main weapon is Thiago, who has enjoyed a standout campaign. Over 37 appearances (36 starts, 3,194 minutes), he has produced 22 league goals and 1 assist. With 66 shots and 43 on target, he is a volume shooter with a high accuracy, and his 8 penalties scored from 9 taken highlight his reliability from the spot. His 7 yellow cards also indicate a combative edge. The battle between Ekitike’s movement and Thiago’s penalty‑box presence could decide which side makes the most of their attacking opportunities.

D. Szoboszlai vs K. Schade

In midfield, Liverpool’s D. Szoboszlai is a creative and all‑round force. He has played 35 league games (all starts) for 3,143 minutes, contributing 6 goals and 7 assists. With 2,125 completed passes at 87% accuracy and 74 key passes, he is the primary playmaker, while 52 tackles, 8 blocks and 29 interceptions show his work without the ball. His disciplinary record (8 yellow cards and 1 red) suggests he plays on the edge.

For Brentford, K. Schade offers a different type of threat from midfield. In 34 appearances (31 starts, 2,667 minutes), he has chipped in with 7 goals and 3 assists. His 42 shots (22 on target) and 29 key passes show a direct, attacking profile, and his 70 dribbles attempted underline his willingness to take defenders on. With 6 yellow cards and 1 red, he too walks a disciplinary tightrope. The clash between Szoboszlai’s control and Schade’s verticality will be central to the midfield battle.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent meetings between Liverpool and Brentford have been high‑intensity and often high‑scoring, with both sides enjoying notable wins. Liverpool have generally had the upper hand, but Brentford’s recent home success shows this is no longer a one‑sided fixture.

  • 25 October 2025: Brentford 3-2 Liverpool (Premier League)
  • 18 January 2025: Brentford 0-2 Liverpool (Premier League)
  • 25 August 2024: Liverpool 2-0 Brentford (Premier League)
  • 17 February 2024: Brentford 1-4 Liverpool (Premier League)
  • 12 November 2023: Liverpool 3-0 Brentford (Premier League)

Liverpool vs Brentford Prediction

Analysis points to a finely balanced contest, despite Liverpool’s higher league position. Liverpool’s recent league form string of LDLWW suggests inconsistency, but their overall attacking metrics and strong home record make them favourites. Brentford’s form of DLWLD and their ability to score in bursts, especially late in games, means they should not be underestimated.

The prediction metrics rate Liverpool and the draw equally at 45% each, with Brentford given 10%, and the advised angle is a double chance in favour of Liverpool or draw. That implies a cautious outlook on a home win, with respect for Brentford’s resilience. Goals projections are conservative (both teams indicated under 2.5), hinting at a tighter affair than some previous high‑scoring meetings.

Predicted Score: Liverpool 1-1 Brentford

Liverpool League Form

LDLWW

Brentford League Form

DLWLD

Liverpool Possible Starting Lineup

Alisson Becker; C. Bradley, I. Konaté, V. van Dijk, A. Robertson; W. Endo, D. Szoboszlai, A. Mac Allister; Mohamed Salah, H. Ekitike, C. Gakpo.

Liverpool have the personnel to line up in their favoured 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3, shapes they have used extensively this season. Alisson anchors a back line marshalled by V. van Dijk, with A. Robertson offering width on the left and C. Bradley on the right. In midfield, W. Endo provides the screening role, allowing D. Szoboszlai and A. Mac Allister to dictate tempo and progression. Up front, a trio of Mohamed Salah, H. Ekitike and C. Gakpo offers goals, creativity and pressing, matching their strong attacking averages.

Brentford Possible Starting Lineup

C. Kelleher; A. Hickey, N. Collins, E. Pinnock, R. Henry; V. Janelt, M. Jensen; K. Schade, M. Damsgaard, K. Lewis-Potter; Thiago.

Brentford have frequently used a 4-2-3-1 base and can mirror that again at Anfield. C. Kelleher could start in goal behind a back four of A. Hickey, N. Collins, E. Pinnock and R. Henry. V. Janelt and M. Jensen provide balance in midfield, with K. Schade and K. Lewis-Potter offering width and direct running around the creative M. Damsgaard. Thiago leads the line as the focal point, looking to add to his 22 league goals and exploit Liverpool’s tendency to concede 1.4 goals per game.

Liverpool Team News

No significant absences reported.

Brentford Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Liverpool:

  • None reported.

Brentford:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Liverpool vs Brentford

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Back Liverpool in the match‑winner market, but consider some insurance. Predictions give Liverpool a 45% win chance with another 45% on the draw and only 10% on Brentford. The home side are favoured across comparison metrics (64.2% total vs 36.0%), and bookmakers reflect that with home odds as low as 1.75 with Betfair and BetVictor and up to 1.85 with 1xBet. A straight Liverpool win at around 1.80 (Bet365, William Hill) aligns with the underlying edge.
  • Goals Tip: Under 3.5 goals looks a sensible play. Both teams average 1.7 and 1.5 goals scored respectively, and 1.4 conceded, pointing to a likely total around 2–3 goals. The prediction advice leans towards a cautious goal expectation (both sides tagged under 2.5), and several recent Anfield meetings have seen Liverpool control the scoreline. Look for an Under 3.5 goals price from the main firms (e.g. Bet365, Unibet, Pinnacle) to pair with the statistical profile.
  • Value Tip: Thiago to score anytime offers strong value in player markets. With 22 league goals and 8 penalties scored, he is Brentford’s primary goal threat and penalty taker. Given Liverpool concede 1.1 goals per game at home and Brentford’s strong late‑game scoring profile, a Thiago goal could be priced attractively alongside match odds such as Liverpool 1.81 at Pinnacle or 1.82 at Marathonbet. Combining a Liverpool‑leaning result with Thiago on the scoresheet can create a high‑value same‑game angle.

How to Watch Liverpool vs Brentford

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

  • Spain: Movistar LaLiga
  • UK: Premier Sports
  • Australia: beIN Sports
  • India: FanCode
  • MENA: beIN Sports
  • South America: ESPN / Disney+
  • Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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