Ventura County vs The Town Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Ventura County and The Town meet again at Dignity Health Sports Park in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action on 25 July 2026. With both sides firmly in the Pacific Division playoff picture, this fixture carries real weight for seeding and momentum heading into the business end of the campaign.

Ventura County come in as one of the division’s stronger outfits, sitting 2nd in the Pacific Division with 32 points from 19 matches. The Town are not far behind in 4th on 28 points from 17 games, boasting the division’s best goal difference at +17. Recent meetings and attacking numbers suggest a high‑tempo, goal‑rich clash is likely, making this one of the standout MLS Next Pro betting and prediction angles on the weekend card.

Beyond the table, the narrative is clear: Ventura County need to prove they can finally handle this opponent at home, while The Town will look to extend a dominant head‑to‑head run and close the gap in the standings.

Ventura County vs The Town Key Stats

• Ventura County are 2nd in the Pacific Division with 32 points from 19 matches, scoring 34 and conceding 27.
• The Town have scored 3+ goals in four of the last five meetings at or involving Dignity Health Sports Park, including a 3-1 away win here on 2 May 2026.
• In 2026 MLS Next Pro statistics, Ventura County average 1.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while The Town average 2.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Ventura County vs The Town — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 2 vs 4 (Pacific Division)
• Points: 32 vs 28
• Goals For: 34 vs 37
• Goals Against: 27 vs 20
• Clean Sheets: Ventura County 5 vs The Town 2 (2026 MLS Next Pro statistics)

In the Pacific Division table, Ventura County hold a slight edge in points but have played two matches more than The Town. Their 11 wins from 19 and a +7 goal difference underline a strong, attack‑minded side, but the lack of draws and eight defeats show they are vulnerable in open games.

The Town’s profile is even more striking: 9 wins and 8 losses from 17, with no draws, 37 goals scored and only 20 conceded. That +17 goal difference is the best in the division, driven by an explosive attack (2.2 goals per game) and a notably stingy home defence. Away from home they are more open, but their overall numbers suggest they travel with real scoring threat.

Ventura County vs The Town Key Matchups

Ventura County attack vs The Town attack

Without individual scorer data, the clearest “star battle” is between two high‑powered attacking units. Ventura County’s 37 goals across 19 fixtures in 2026 (2.1 per game at home) show they can consistently create chances. Their goal‑scoring distribution is balanced, with significant shares coming between 16–30 and 46–75 minutes, suggesting they build pressure through the middle phases of each half.

The Town’s attack is even more potent in pure numbers: 38 goals in just 17 matches, with a 2.5‑goal average at home and 2.0 away. They are especially dangerous late in first halves, with a large share of their goals between 31–45 minutes, and they have repeatedly cut through Ventura County’s defence in recent H2H meetings. This matchup will likely decide the game: whichever frontline imposes itself early could tilt a high‑scoring contest.

Ventura County defence vs The Town defence

Defensively, Ventura County concede 1.5 goals per match overall, with 15 goals shipped at home and 14 away. They have managed 5 clean sheets in 2026 but also show a tendency to wobble after the break, with a significant share of goals conceded between 46–75 minutes. If they allow The Town to build momentum in that window, the match could get away from them.

The Town concede fewer overall (22 in 17 matches, 1.3 per game), but the split is telling: just 6 conceded at home versus 16 away. On the road they allow 1.8 goals per game, which aligns with the idea of an open, end‑to‑end contest at Dignity Health Sports Park. Their defensive lapses late in games (a notable share of goals conceded from 76–90 minutes) could invite a late Ventura County surge.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

This is one of MLS Next Pro’s more compelling recent series, with The Town generally having the upper hand, particularly in high‑scoring encounters. Matches between these sides are rarely dull and often feature multiple goals and momentum swings.

• 2 May 2026: Ventura County 1-3 The Town (MLS Next Pro, Group Stage)
• 22 September 2025: Ventura County 0-4 The Town (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 37)
• 16 August 2025: The Town 4-1 Ventura County (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 30)
• 30 June 2025: The Town 1-1 Ventura County, 4-3 pens (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 21)
• 29 July 2024: Ventura County 0-4 The Town (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 27)

Ventura County vs The Town Prediction

Stats suggest a finely balanced contest with a strong bias towards goals. The prediction model gives The Town and the draw equal top billing at 45% each, with Ventura County out at just 10%. That reflects both The Town’s superior recent head‑to‑head record and their excellent attacking numbers.

Ventura County’s recent form is actually slightly stronger in the last five matches, and they score freely at home, but they have repeatedly struggled to contain The Town’s forwards. The visitors’ away defence is far from watertight, which should allow the hosts to get on the scoresheet, yet The Town’s track record of scoring multiple goals in this fixture cannot be ignored.

Predicted Score: Ventura County 1-2 The Town

Ventura County Recent Form

Ventura County’s Group Stage form line reads “WLWLOW”, reflecting an inconsistent but dangerous side. They have 11 wins and 8 losses from 19 matches with no draws, underlining their high‑variance profile. Across the 2026 campaign they average 1.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, with only 1 game in 19 where they have failed to score. At home they are particularly effective in attack, averaging 2.1 goals per fixture.

The Town Recent Form

The Town’s recent form is “LLWWL”, another streaky pattern. Over 17 matches they have 9 wins and 8 defeats with no draws, scoring 2.2 goals per game and conceding 1.3. They have kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times, but their ability to hit big scorelines (including a 6-1 home win and a 4-1 away win) shows their ceiling is very high. Away from home they are more open, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.8 per match.

Ventura County Possible Starting Lineup

GK: S. Conlon or B. Scott or W. Walker; Defenders: R. Dalgado, S. Hernandez, E. Martinez, M. McLean, Harbor Miller, Pepe, C. Rindov; Midfielders: G. Arnold, T. Elgersma, V. Garcia, C. Gozdieski, Tucker Lepley, I. Parente, B. Phan, R. Ramos, M. Tsakiris, D. Vanney, M. Vanney, A. Vilamitjana; Forwards: O. Aina, I. Luna, A. Medina, J. Placias, E. Preston, E. Rios, Maximus Steelman.

Ventura County have a deep squad with multiple options in every line, especially in midfield where creative and box‑to‑box profiles like Tucker Lepley and I. Parente can help control tempo. In attack, a young and energetic group led by players such as O. Aina and Maximus Steelman should ensure they maintain their strong scoring average at home. With no confirmed absences, the coach can tailor the XI to exploit The Town’s weaker away defence, likely in an aggressive, front‑foot setup.

The Town Possible Starting Lineup

GK: M. Avalos, N. Crockford, M. Gomez, C. Lambe or Francesco Montali; Defenders: A. Cano, N. Dossmann, M. Floriani, J. Heisner, Jack Jasinski, A. Ling; Midfielders: Z. Bohane, W. Boyce, G. Bracken Serra, N. Buck, N. Fernandez, D. Lorenti, E. Mendoza, Nikko Perez, R. Rajagopal, K. Spivey; Forwards: N. Adimabua, T. Allen, D. Baptista, R. Castro, J. Donnery, Jayden Fitzgerald Boes, Y. Kikuchi, M. Kwende, J. Spivey, S. de Flores.

The Town’s roster is similarly well‑stocked, with a mix of experienced and emerging talent. Attacking options like N. Adimabua, D. Baptista, R. Castro and S. de Flores help explain their 2.2‑goal scoring rate. In midfield, players such as N. Buck and G. Bracken Serra can link play and drive the ball forward, while a variety of goalkeepers and defenders gives tactical flexibility. Expect an adventurous shape that looks to press Ventura County and exploit their vulnerability in the middle and late phases of each half.

Ventura County Team News

No significant absences reported.

The Town Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Ventura County:

• None reported.

The Town:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Ventura County vs The Town

Here are three data‑driven betting angles for this MLS Next Pro clash:

• Result Tip: Double chance – Draw or The Town. With win probabilities split at 10% Ventura County, 45% draw and 45% The Town, backing the visitors not to lose aligns with both the model and the dominant recent H2H record. Use available match odds once posted to confirm value.
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Both teams average well over 1.5 goals scored per game and their head‑to‑head history is packed with high‑scoring contests (four of the last five meetings featured at least three goals in regular time). Over 1.5 looks a solid foundation leg for multiples.
• Value Tip: The Town to score 2+ goals. They average 2.2 goals per match in 2026, have repeatedly put 3+ past Ventura County, and face a home defence conceding 1.5 per game. If the market prices this line generously, it could offer one of the better value spots on the card.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.