Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II Prediction: Preview and Betting Tips
Philadelphia Union II welcome New York City II to Subaru Park in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action on 14 June 2026. The fixture brings together two sides separated by just three points and one place in a congested section of the standings, adding real weight to this latest chapter of a growing second-team rivalry.
Union II sit on 18 points from 13 matches, while NYCFC II have 15 from 11. With both teams outside any explicitly defined promotion or playoff description, every game carries added importance in the push to climb the conference ladder. For Philadelphia, this is an opportunity to consolidate a top-half position and lean on their strong historical record at Subaru Park against this opponent. For New York City II, it is a chance to close the gap on a direct rival and prove their recent attacking upturn can translate into results away from home.
Subaru Park has hosted several high-scoring and tight encounters between these sides, including dramatic 4-3 home wins for Union II in recent campaigns. Stats suggest another competitive contest, with Philadelphia’s narrow positive goal difference set against New York City II’s more volatile profile of higher scoring at both ends.
Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II Key Stats
- Philadelphia Union II have 18 points from 13 matches with 15 goals scored and 14 conceded in league play.
- Union II have won four of the last five MLS Next Pro meetings between these sides at Subaru Park, including 4-3 home victories on 23 September 2024 and 5 October 2025.
- Union II average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match this campaign, while New York City II average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II — Tale of the Tape
- Position: 5 vs 6
- Points: 18 vs 15
- Goals For: 15 vs 15
- Goals Against: 14 vs 19
- Clean Sheets: Philadelphia Union II 2, New York City II 1
In the league table, Philadelphia Union II hold a slight edge. They are fifth with 18 points from 13 matches, built on six wins and no draws, with seven defeats. Their goal return of 15 for and 14 against underlines how fine the margins have been, and their goal difference of +1 reflects a team often involved in close games. At Subaru Park, they have won four and lost four, scoring 11 and conceding eight.
New York City II are just behind in sixth with 15 points from 11 matches. They have five wins and six defeats, again with no draws, scoring 15 and conceding 19. Their goal difference of -4 highlights a more open, high-variance profile. Away from home they have one win and four losses from five, with six goals scored and eight conceded. While Union II have the slightly better defensive record and more stability, NYCFC II’s higher scoring rate suggests they can trouble any back line when they click.
Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II Key Matchups
Union II Attack vs NYCFC II Defence
Without individual scoring data, the matchup has to be viewed through team metrics. Philadelphia Union II average 1.2 goals per game, with 11 of their 16 total league goals at home. Their biggest home win has been 4-1, showing they can be ruthless when on top. New York City II concede 1.8 goals per game overall and 1.8 away from home, with their heaviest home defeat a 0-5, underlining defensive fragility when games get stretched. If Union II can reproduce the attacking output that has brought them multiple four-goal home wins in this rivalry, NYCFC II’s back line will be severely tested.
NYCFC II Front Line vs Union II Back Line
On the other side, New York City II’s attack is a clear strength. They average 1.5 goals per match, rising to 1.7 at home and 1.2 away, with their biggest away win a 3-2 scoreline. They have scored 16 league goals, matching Union II’s total in the wider statistical sample, and their recent five-game stretch has produced 11 goals at 2.2 per match. Philadelphia concede 1.2 per game and have kept two clean sheets, but they have also allowed late goals, with 30.77% of their concessions coming between minutes 76 and 90. If NYCFC II stay in the game, their late scoring threat could be decisive against a Union II defence that can tire.
Head-to-Head: Last Meetings
These clubs have built one of MLS Next Pro’s more entertaining rivalries, with high-scoring fixtures and a strong home advantage for Philadelphia Union II. Counting the most recent clashes, Union II have generally had the better of it, especially at Subaru Park.
- 5 October 2025: Philadelphia Union II 4-3 New York City II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 39)
- 26 July 2025: New York City II 0-2 Philadelphia Union II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 26)
- 23 April 2025: New York City II 1-4 Philadelphia Union II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 8)
- 20 October 2024: Philadelphia Union II 1-0 New York City II (MLS Next Pro Conference - Quarter-finals)
- 23 September 2024: Philadelphia Union II 4-3 New York City II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 38)
Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II Prediction
Form and numbers point to a tight but entertaining contest. Philadelphia Union II’s league form string of “LLWLOL” shows inconsistency, yet their broader campaign statistics and perfect recent H2H record at Subaru Park against NYCFC II suggest they tend to raise their level for this matchup. New York City II arrive with a “LWWLW” league form line, reflecting better recent results and a sharper attack, but their away record of one win and four defeats is a concern.
Win-probability metrics lean heavily towards the hosts avoiding defeat, with Union II given 45% to win, the draw also at 45%, and New York City II just 10%. The advice tilts towards a double chance in favour of Philadelphia or the draw. Given the defensive vulnerabilities on both sides and the attacking potential of NYCFC II, a low-scoring but competitive game looks plausible, with Union II’s edge at Subaru Park and superior H2H record enough to shade it.
Predicted Score: Philadelphia Union II 1-0 New York City II
Philadelphia Union II League Form
LLWLOL
New York City II League Form
LWWLW
Philadelphia Union II Possible Starting Lineup
Pierce Holbrook; A. Craig, J. Griffin, L. Harrington, K. Moore; O. Benitez, M. Berthe, Paco Dadi, K. LeBlanc; Stas Kornzeniowski, Sal Olivas.
Union II’s squad blend of young defenders such as A. Craig and J. Griffin, energetic midfielders like O. Benitez and M. Berthe, and forwards Stas Kornzeniowski and Sal Olivas offers flexibility. With multiple goalkeepers available, Pierce Holbrook is a logical option between the posts. The depth in attacking positions, including Edward Davis and T. Reed, gives scope to adjust shape, either starting with two central forwards or using wide attackers to stretch NYCFC II’s back line. The presence of several teenage midfielders suggests high energy but also some volatility in control.
New York City II Possible Starting Lineup
T. Romero; Nico Cavallo, João Loiola, E. Martin, Maxwell Murray; Jacob Arroyave, C. Flax, Musu, K. Pierre; M. Jones, E. Samb.
New York City II have a deep defensive pool with players such as Nico Cavallo and Maxwell Murray, and a midfield unit that can mix technical quality and work rate through Jacob Arroyave, C. Flax and Musu. In attack, experienced options like E. Samb and M. Jones are complemented by younger forwards including A. Farnos and S. Reid, giving the coaching staff multiple profiles to exploit spaces behind the Union II defence. Their away record suggests they may initially prioritise compactness before releasing their more aggressive attacking options later in the match.
Philadelphia Union II Team News
No significant absences reported.
New York City II Team News
No significant absences reported.
Injuries & Suspensions
Philadelphia Union II:
- None reported.
New York City II:
- None reported.
Betting Tips: Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II
[Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:]
- Result Tip: Back Philadelphia Union II or Draw (Double Chance). With Union II given 45% to win and the draw also at 45%, against just 10% for an away victory, the numbers strongly support a home-sided double chance. Their dominant recent H2H record at Subaru Park reinforces this angle.
- Goals Tip: Under 3.5 Goals. Both teams average between 1.2 and 1.8 goals for and against, and recent league under/over trends for Union II show the vast majority of matches staying under higher goal thresholds. Despite some high-scoring H2H clashes, the current prediction leans towards a more controlled contest.
- Value Tip: Philadelphia Union II Clean Sheet – Yes. Union II have two clean sheets this campaign, while NYCFC II have failed to score in three matches. With the home side’s defensive metrics (1.2 goals conceded per game) stronger than New York City II’s attack away from home, a home clean sheet offers potential value at the right price.
How to Watch Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II
Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:
- Spain: Movistar LaLiga
- UK: Premier Sports
- Australia: beIN Sports
- India: FanCode
- MENA: beIN Sports
- South America: ESPN / Disney+
- Africa: SuperSport
Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.
