North Texas vs The Town Prediction: Preview and Betting Tips

North Texas welcome The Town to Choctaw Stadium in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action on 24 May 2026, with both sides locked on 17 points and eyeing a push from their respective conference play-off spots. The venue in Arlington, Texas, has already hosted some tight encounters between these two, and this latest chapter promises another high-intensity clash.

In the Eastern Conference picture, North Texas sit in a promotion play-off position with 17 points from 11 matches, while The Town also hold a promotion play-off berth on 17 points from 10 games. With identical points tallies and both teams currently occupying MLS Next Pro play-off zones, this fixture carries clear implications for seeding and momentum heading into the next phase of the campaign.

Stats suggest a finely balanced contest: North Texas bring stronger recent form, but The Town boast a superior goal difference and a strong historical head-to-head record. With both sides averaging more than two goals scored per match this year, this looks set up as one of the standout MLS Next Pro betting opportunities of the weekend, especially for those analysing North Texas vs The Town predictions and goal markets.

North Texas vs The Town Key Stats

• North Texas have taken 17 points from 11 matches in the Eastern Conference, winning 6 and losing 5 with 20 goals scored and 15 conceded.
• Across their last five league meetings listed, neither side has dominated: North Texas have 2 wins, The Town have 3 wins, with no draws in that specific run.
• North Texas matches in 2026 average 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, while The Town average 2.1 scored and 1.2 conceded, underlining strong attacking trends on both sides.

North Texas vs The Town — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 8 vs 7
• Points: 17 vs 17
• Goals For: 20 vs 21
• Goals Against: 15 vs 10
• Clean Sheets: North Texas 1; The Town 1

In the Eastern Conference standings, North Texas are 8th with 17 points from 11 matches, holding a “Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)” description. They have scored 20 goals and conceded 15, giving them a +5 goal difference. The Town sit slightly higher in 7th, also on 17 points but with a more impressive +11 goal difference from 21 goals scored and only 10 conceded in 10 matches.

Both teams are already in play-off territory, but the underlying numbers hint at different strengths. North Texas have been more volatile, with 6 wins and 5 losses and no draws, relying on a strong attack to offset defensive lapses. The Town, also without a draw this year, combine a potent forward line with a notably tighter defence, particularly at home. However, their away record is more fragile, which will be a key factor at Choctaw Stadium.

North Texas vs The Town Key Matchups

North Texas Attack vs The Town Defence

North Texas have produced 22 goals across 11 fixtures in 2026, averaging 2.0 goals per match, with a particularly strong return at home where they average 2.8 goals scored. Their biggest home win of 5-1 underlines their capacity to overwhelm visitors when they find rhythm. The Town’s defence, meanwhile, has conceded just 12 goals in 10 matches, an average of 1.2 per game, and only 3 at home. Away from home they are more vulnerable at 1.5 goals conceded per match, which gives North Texas an opening to exploit.

The Town Attack vs North Texas Defence

The Town’s attacking numbers are impressive: 21 goals in 10 games at 2.1 per match, with a 6-1 home win and a 1-4 away win among their biggest victories. Their scoring is well distributed across the 90 minutes, with particularly strong phases between 31 and 45 minutes and again just after the interval. North Texas concede 1.5 goals per match on average, with their biggest defeats including a 0-2 home loss and a 2-0 away reverse. If The Town can reproduce their usual attacking tempo, especially in the middle phases of each half, they are well placed to trouble the North Texas back line.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These two clubs have built a competitive rivalry in MLS Next Pro, with recent meetings often tight and occasionally high scoring. Across the last eight recorded clashes, The Town have generally had the upper hand, though North Texas have produced key home wins to keep the series close.

• 20 October 2025: The Town 3-0 North Texas (MLS Next Pro, Round of 16)
• 24 April 2025: North Texas 2-0 The Town (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 8)
• 13 May 2024: The Town 1-0 North Texas (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 12)
• 6 April 2024: North Texas 1-1 The Town (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 5)
• 17 June 2023: North Texas 0-1 The Town (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 18)

North Texas vs The Town Prediction

Form and metrics point to a very even contest. North Texas have a 60% form rating over their last five, with 10 goals scored and 6 conceded, while The Town sit at 40% form with 11 scored and 7 conceded in the same span. The comparison model gives The Town a slight overall edge (52.8% vs 47.2%), but the prediction advice leans towards the hosts avoiding defeat, with a “Win or draw” angle for North Texas and equal 35% probabilities assigned to both home win and draw, and 30% to an away win.

At Choctaw Stadium, North Texas’ attacking output and The Town’s more fragile away defence should narrow the gap seen in The Town’s superior goal difference and broader metrics. With both sides yet to draw in league play this year, a share of the points would represent a break from trend, but the balance of probabilities and the double-chance recommendation suggest a tight, possibly low-scoring contest where North Texas edge the territorial advantage without necessarily turning it into a clear win.

Predicted Score: North Texas 1-1 The Town

North Texas League Form

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The Town League Form

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North Texas Possible Starting Lineup

Goalkeepers: T. Burchfield, E. Dymora, A. Jordan, N. Montoya; Defenders: Alvaro Augusto, J. Biggar, D. Easterly, J. Gibson, Leandro, Z. Molomo, Enzo Newman, Slade Starnes, Joshua Torquato, L. Vejrostek, C. Wygant; Midfielders: F. Aroyameh, I. Charles, D. García, N. James, M. Luccin, T. Ospina, Umberto Pela, C. Swann; Forwards: D. Baran, J. Contreras, B. Flowers, Ricky Louis, E. Nys, C. Salazar, S. Sedeh, Nicholas Simmonds.

North Texas have depth across the pitch, particularly in defence and attack, giving them multiple options to adjust shape between a back four or back three with wing-backs. The presence of several young attackers provides pace and direct running, which suits their high-scoring home profile. With no reported absences, the coaching staff can select a side geared towards aggressive pressing at home, trusting their attacking numbers while needing better concentration at the back.

The Town Possible Starting Lineup

Goalkeepers: M. Avalos, N. Crockford, C. Lambe; Defenders: A. Cano, N. Dossmann, M. Floriani, J. Heisner, Jack Jasinski, A. Ling; Midfielders: Z. Bohane, G. Bracken Serra, N. Buck, M. Colmenares, N. Fernandez, D. Lorenti, E. Mendoza, R. Rajagopal, K. Spivey; Forwards: N. Adimabua, T. Allen, D. Baptista, J. Donnery, Y. Kikuchi, M. Kwende, J. Spivey, S. de Flores.

The Town’s squad balance is strong, with a solid defensive core and a wide array of attacking options, which helps explain their 2.1 goals-per-game output. They can mix physical forwards with more mobile wide players, making them dangerous in transition. Away from home, the key tactical question is whether they risk an open game or adopt a slightly more conservative approach to protect what has been a relatively leaky away defence.

North Texas Team News

No significant absences reported.

The Town Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

North Texas:

• None reported.

The Town:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: North Texas vs The Town

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: North Texas or Draw (Double Chance). With home and draw each rated at 35% and away at 30%, and the advice explicitly backing “North Texas or draw”, the value lies in siding with the hosts not to lose, especially given their strong home scoring rate and The Town’s weaker away defensive record. [No odds data available in the current market feed.]
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 Total Goals. North Texas matches average 3.5 total goals (2.0 for, 1.5 against), while The Town average 3.3 (2.1 for, 1.2 against). Recent H2H meetings have included scorelines such as 3-0, 2-0 and 3-1, which all clear the 1.5 line comfortably. A goals-based angle above the lowest threshold is statistically well supported. [No odds data available in the current market feed.]
• Value Tip: Both Teams to Score – Yes. Both sides have failed to score in only a minority of their games (North Texas 4 times in 11, The Town 2 times in 10), and each averages over two goals scored per match. Combined with an evenly matched prediction profile and attacking strengths on both sides, the BTTS market offers an appealing value angle. [No odds data available in the current market feed.]

How to Watch North Texas vs The Town

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.