North Texas vs Los Angeles FC II Prediction and Betting Tips

North Texas welcome Los Angeles FC II to Choctaw Stadium on 26 July 2026 in an MLS Next Pro Group Stage clash that could have major implications in both the Frontier and Pacific Division battles, as well as the wider Eastern Conference playoff picture. With just four points separating the sides and no draws in either team’s season so far, this has all the ingredients of a high-variance, attack-minded encounter.

The hosts sit 5th in the Frontier Division and 11th in the Eastern Conference on 25 points from 17 matches, built on an all-or-nothing profile of 8 wins and 9 defeats. LAFC II arrive 3rd in the Pacific Division and 7th in the Eastern Conference with 29 points from 18 games, currently occupying a spot labeled for MLS Next Pro Play Offs (1/8-finals). With both clubs chasing momentum and seeding, North Texas vs Los Angeles FC II prediction and betting tips will draw plenty of interest among MLS Next Pro followers.

Recent head-to-head history heavily favors North Texas, especially on the road, but LAFC II’s higher conference position and stronger home record this season keep this fixture finely poised. Stats suggest a tight contest where the double chance on the hosts looks attractive, yet the visitors’ attacking potential ensures this is far from a foregone conclusion.

North Texas vs Los Angeles FC II Key Stats

• North Texas have 25 points from 17 matches (8 wins, 0 draws, 9 losses) with a +6 goal difference (27 scored, 21 conceded) in the Eastern Conference standings.
• North Texas have won three of the last four meetings away to LAFC II, including 4-2 on 5 October 2025 and 4-0 on 3 June 2024.
• Season statistics show North Texas averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, while LAFC II average 1.7 scored and 1.9 conceded.

North Texas vs Los Angeles FC II — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 11 vs 7
• Points: 25 vs 29
• Goals For: 27 vs 28
• Goals Against: 21 vs 30
• Clean Sheets: North Texas 3; Los Angeles FC II 1 (season statistics)

In the Eastern Conference table, North Texas are 11th with 25 points from 17 games and a positive goal difference of +6. They have been prolific but volatile, scoring 27 and conceding 21, with no draws. Their Frontier Division rank of 5th underlines a side on the fringes of the playoff conversation but still needing consistency.

Los Angeles FC II sit 7th in the Eastern Conference with 29 points from 18 matches, despite a negative goal difference of -2 (28 scored, 30 conceded). Their Pacific Division position of 3rd and the playoff-related description attached to their conference rank highlight that they are currently better placed than North Texas in the postseason race, even if their defensive record is weaker. Across the season, LAFC II’s home form has carried them, while their away record (2 wins, 6 losses, 11-22 goal difference) has been a clear vulnerability.

North Texas vs Los Angeles FC II Key Matchups

North Texas attack vs Los Angeles FC II defence

With no individual scorer data available, the matchup is best framed as unit versus unit. North Texas have scored 29 goals across 17 matches in their season statistics, averaging 2.7 at home and 1.2 away. They have produced a biggest home win of 5-1 and an away high of 1-4, underlining their ability to explode offensively. Their goals are well distributed, with significant shares between 31–45 and 76–90 minutes, suggesting they can hurt opponents both before and late in the interval.

LAFC II’s defence has been far less convincing, conceding 34 goals in 18 games (1.9 per match), including 22 in just 8 away fixtures at a rate of 2.8 per game. Their heaviest away loss of 4-1 and a pattern of conceding heavily late (notably in extended periods) point to structural and concentration issues on the road. This tilt strongly favors North Texas in open play, especially given their strong attacking numbers at Choctaw Stadium.

Set-piece and penalty battle

Another critical area is discipline and penalty-box incidents. North Texas have not been awarded a penalty in their season statistics (0 taken), whereas LAFC II have had 16 penalties, converting 12 at a 75% success rate. This indicates LAFC II are adept at forcing fouls in dangerous areas and could punish any rash defending from North Texas.

On the flip side, both teams show notable yellow and red card activity across multiple time windows, with North Texas picking up a significant share of yellow cards between 46–60 minutes and LAFC II doing similar in the same phase. With North Texas also recording three red-card incidents in different time ranges and LAFC II three reds in the middle phases, a high-intensity, card-heavy contest is possible, potentially swinging momentum through suspensions or set-piece opportunities.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have built a lively recent rivalry in MLS Next Pro, with North Texas generally enjoying the upper hand, particularly in California. Goals have been a recurring theme, and late drama has not been uncommon.

• 5 October 2025: Los Angeles FC II 2-4 North Texas (MLS Next Pro)
• 25 August 2025: North Texas 0-4 Los Angeles FC II (MLS Next Pro)
• 3 June 2024: Los Angeles FC II 0-4 North Texas (MLS Next Pro)
• 3 July 2023: North Texas 2-2 Los Angeles FC II (MLS Next Pro) – North Texas won 8-7 on penalties
• 27 March 2023: Los Angeles FC II 0-1 North Texas (MLS Next Pro)

North Texas vs Los Angeles FC II Prediction

Stats suggest a finely balanced matchup with a slight lean towards the hosts. The prediction model gives North Texas a 45 out of 100 chance of victory, the draw also 45 out of 100, and LAFC II just 10 out of 100. That aligns with the narrative of a strong home side facing an away team with serious defensive frailties, despite LAFC II’s higher conference position.

North Texas’ home scoring rate of 2.7 goals per game and three clean sheets in their season statistics contrast sharply with LAFC II’s 2.8 goals conceded per away match and only one clean sheet overall. However, LAFC II’s attacking threat (30 goals in 18 games, 1.7 per match) and their recent 4-0 away win at Choctaw Stadium in August 2025 show they cannot be written off. Expect North Texas to control large spells, especially in the middle phases of each half, while LAFC II look to exploit transitions and set-pieces.

Predicted Score: North Texas 2-1 Los Angeles FC II

North Texas Recent Form

North Texas’ Eastern Conference form line reads WLWLOL across their last six, reflecting a streaky, high-variance side. They have alternated wins and losses, with no draws, and their broader season pattern includes a longest winning streak of three and a losing streak of three. At home, they have been strong, winning 4 of 6 with 15 goals scored and only 8 conceded, but their inconsistency keeps them hovering around mid-table.

Los Angeles FC II Recent Form

LAFC II’s recent Eastern Conference form is LLOLOWW, which encapsulates their volatility: a run of defeats followed by a late surge. Overall, they have 9 wins and 9 losses from 18 matches, with no draws. Their home form is impressive (7 wins from 10), but away they have struggled badly, losing 6 of 8 and conceding heavily. The positive note is a biggest winning streak of four, suggesting that when they click, they can string results together quickly.

North Texas Possible Starting Lineup

GK: E. Dymora or B. Thompson; Defenders: Alvaro Augusto, J. Biggar, Leandro, Enzo Newman, Slade Starnes; Midfielders: F. Aroyameh, N. James, T. Ospina, Umberto Pela, C. Swann; Forwards: D. Baran, J. Contreras, E. Nys, Ricky Louis, Nicholas Simmonds.

North Texas have a deep squad with multiple options in every line, including several young defenders such as J. Gibson and Z. Molomo and a mix of attacking profiles in D. Baran, J. Contreras, E. Nys and Ricky Louis. Without confirmed lineups, the expectation is for a balanced setup that leans into their strong home attacking numbers, likely in a shape that supports width and late runs into the box. The presence of four goalkeepers, led by E. Dymora and B. Thompson, offers flexibility but also suggests ongoing competition for the starting spot.

Los Angeles FC II Possible Starting Lineup

GK: Cabral Carter or T. Hasal; Defenders: T. Babineau, C. Diaz, L. Goodman, Kenny Nielsen, S. Minor-Kaplan; Midfielders: M. Evans, B. Moyado, Jude Terry, Lisandro Torres, G. Zambrano; Forwards: Tommy Mihalic, Sebastian Nava, C. Kosakoff, M. Aiyenero, N. Mardaresco.

LAFC II also boast a youthful, flexible squad. In defence, players like Kenny Nielsen and L. Goodman provide experience, while the midfield blend of M. Evans, B. Moyado and Jude Terry can offer energy and ball progression. In attack, Tommy Mihalic and Sebastian Nava headline a group capable of exploiting transitions and penalty-area chaos, supported by options such as C. Kosakoff and M. Aiyenero. Given their away defensive issues, LAFC II may opt for a more compact shape, looking to break quickly rather than dominate possession.

North Texas Team News

No significant absences reported.

Los Angeles FC II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

North Texas:

• None reported.

Los Angeles FC II:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: North Texas vs Los Angeles FC II

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back North Texas Draw No Bet or Double Chance (North Texas or Draw). With win probabilities of 45 out of 100 for the hosts, 45 out of 100 for the draw, and only 10 out of 100 for an LAFC II win, combined with LAFC II’s poor away record (2 wins, 6 losses, 11-22 goal difference), siding with the hosts while covering the stalemate looks the most sensible result angle.
• Goals Tip: Over 2.5 goals. Both teams average 1.7 goals scored per game, and LAFC II concede 1.9 on average, including 2.8 away. Recent head-to-head meetings have featured scorelines of 4-2, 4-0, 2-2 and 4-0, underlining a strong trend towards high-scoring contests.
• Value Tip: Both Teams to Score – Yes. North Texas have failed to score in only 6 of 17 matches in their season statistics, while LAFC II have failed to score in just 4 of 18. Given North Texas’ attacking strength at home and LAFC II’s proven ability to create and convert penalties (12 scored from 16), BTTS offers a solid value angle in a game where both defences have vulnerabilities.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.