New England II vs New York City II Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips
New England II welcome New York City II to Gillette Stadium on 23 July 2026 in an intriguing MLS Next Pro Group Stage clash between two Eastern Conference playoff contenders. With both sides currently in the promotion mix, this fixture could have a significant impact on the race for MLS Next Pro Play Offs.
New England II arrive in strong overall position, sitting 3rd in the Northeast Division and 6th in the Eastern Conference on 32 points after 17 matches. New York City II are not far behind: 4th in the Northeast Division and 8th in the Eastern Conference with 28 points from 16 games. The numbers underline how tight this matchup is likely to be, with the visitors boasting the more explosive attack and the hosts relying on a solid home record.
Recent meetings between New England II and New York City II have produced goals, drama and late twists at Gillette Stadium and Belson Stadium alike. With both teams trending towards the playoffs and no draws in their league campaigns so far, this Group Stage encounter sets up as one of the standout MLS Next Pro fixtures of the round for bettors and neutral observers.
New England II vs New York City II Key Stats
- New England II have taken 32 points from 17 matches (11 wins, 6 losses, 0 draws), scoring 23 and conceding 20 in the Eastern Conference standings.
- New England II have won the last four MLS Next Pro meetings between these sides, including a 3-2 home victory at Gillette Stadium on 10 May 2026.
- Season statistics show New York City II averaging 1.8 goals scored per match (28 in 16 games), compared to New England II’s 1.5 (26 in 17), underlining the visitors’ attacking edge.
New England II vs New York City II — Tale of the Tape
- Position: 3 vs 4 (Northeast Division)
- Points: 32 vs 28
- Goals For: 23 vs 27
- Goals Against: 20 vs 23
- Clean Sheets: New England II 5; New York City II 3 (tournament statistics)
In the Northeast Division, New England II hold a narrow edge: 3rd with 32 points from 17 matches, while New York City II are 4th on 28 points from 16. Both are well placed in the Eastern Conference playoff picture, with New England II 6th and New York City II 8th, each currently on a path towards the MLS Next Pro Play Offs.
New York City II have scored more goals (27 vs 23) despite playing one game fewer, reflecting their higher-scoring profile. New England II, however, have conceded slightly fewer (20 vs 23) and have one more clean sheet across the season. The standings context suggests a finely balanced contest: the hosts are marginally sturdier, the visitors more potent going forward, and both sides are accustomed to playing open, decisive football with no draws recorded so far in league play.
New England II vs New York City II Key Matchups
New England II attack vs New York City II attack
With no individual scorer or assist data available, the key battle lies in the collective attacking profiles. New England II have scored 26 goals across 17 fixtures in their wider tournament statistics, averaging 1.5 per match, with a notable late-game threat: a significant share of their goals come in the 76–90 minute window. New York City II, by contrast, have 28 goals in 16 matches at 1.8 per game, with strong surges between 61–75 minutes and again late on.
New York City II’s last-five record shows 12 goals scored and an average of 2.4 per game, compared to New England II’s 1.6. If the visitors maintain that tempo, New England II’s back line will be under sustained pressure, particularly after the hour mark where New York City II often find breakthroughs.
Defensive resilience vs late-game lapses
Defensively, New England II concede 1.3 goals per match in their broader statistics (22 in 17), while New York City II allow 1.6 (25 in 16). The timing of goals conceded is crucial. New England II have had a significant share of goals against in the 16–45 and 76–90 minute windows, indicating vulnerability either side of half-time and in the closing stages. New York City II also concede heavily between 61–90 minutes, which could turn the final half hour into a shootout.
With both teams showing weaknesses late on, the side that manages game states better in the final quarter is likely to tilt the balance. New England II’s five clean sheets versus New York City II’s three suggest the hosts are slightly more capable of shutting games down when they get in front.
Head-to-Head: Last Meetings
This fixture has become one of the more entertaining rivalries in MLS Next Pro, with recent clashes regularly featuring three or more goals and momentum swings. New England II have dominated the most recent meetings, especially at Gillette Stadium.
- 10 May 2026: New England II 3-2 New York City II (MLS Next Pro)
- 18 September 2025: New York City II 1-3 New England II (MLS Next Pro)
- 31 May 2025: New York City II 0-1 New England II (MLS Next Pro)
- 26 April 2025: New England II 2-1 New York City II (MLS Next Pro)
- 26 May 2024: New England II 3-3 New York City II (MLS Next Pro, New England II won 4-3 on penalties)
New England II vs New York City II Prediction
Stats suggest a high-variance match. The prediction model gives New England II only a 10% chance of victory, with a 45% probability of a draw and 45% for a New York City II win. That tilt towards the visitors reflects their superior recent form: in the last five games they have outscored opponents 12–5, while New England II have conceded 11 in the same span.
However, the head-to-head trend favours New England II, who have taken a series of wins over New York City II since 2024, including the 3-2 home success in May 2026. New England II are strong at Gillette Stadium (7 wins in 11 home league matches in the standings) and have five tournament clean sheets, so completely writing them off would be dangerous.
The most likely match flow sees New York City II creating more chances and periods of pressure, particularly after half-time, but New England II’s familiarity with this opponent and their late scoring profile should keep them competitive. With the probabilities split evenly between away win and draw, a tight scoreline feels appropriate.
Predicted Score: New England II 1-1 New York City II
New England II Recent Form
New England II’s recent form in the standings reads LOLWLW, an inconsistent sequence of losses and wins with no draws. They have 11 wins and 6 defeats from 17 league matches, underlining a high-risk, high-reward style. In their last five overall fixtures, they have scored 8 and conceded 11, pointing to defensive frailty despite a capable attack.
New York City II Recent Form
New York City II come in on a stronger run, with a standings form line of WWLOWW in the Northeast Division/Eastern Conference context. Across their last five matches they have 12 goals scored and only 5 conceded, and their last-five form index is 80 out of 100, with attacking and defensive indices of 92 and 62 respectively. That upswing explains why they are viewed as slight favourites despite the negative head-to-head trend.
New England II Possible Starting Lineup
GK: JD Gunn or one of D. Parisian, M. Tibbetts, M. Weinstein, Z. Lapierre; Defenders: Gabriel Dahlin, Eric Klein, J. Macedo, C. Mbai Assem, D. McIntosh, S. McNish, J. Smith; Midfielders: L. Azar, J. Buck, Puree Updulloh, L. Katsell, I. Lopez, Mimy Schinieder, M. Morgan, J. Mussenden, C. Oliveira, Allan Oyirwoth, J. Shannon, J. Siqueira, M. Wells, C. Zarzalejo; Forwards: C. Carlos, J. Da, D. Dixon, G. Emerhi, M. Fry, Matthew Jean Baptiste, A. Prajapati, S. Sasaki.
New England II have a deep squad with multiple goalkeeping options and a large pool of young defenders and midfielders. The presence of several attackers such as J. Da, M. Fry and S. Sasaki suggests they can vary between a more direct front line or a fluid attacking trio. With no confirmed absences, tactical flexibility should allow them to adjust shape depending on how aggressively New York City II press.
New York City II Possible Starting Lineup
GK: T. Romero, B. Klein, M. Learned, D. McDermott or A. Suarez; Defenders: K. Acito, A. Baiera, A. Campos, Nico Cavallo, João Loiola, J. Lopez, E. Martin, Maxwell Murray, D. Randazzo, K. Smith; Midfielders: Jacob Arroyave, M. Carrizo, D. Duque, C. Flax, D. Kerr, P. Molinari, Musu, K. Pierre, J. Ponce, S. Ramirez, J. Shore, J. Suchecki, L. Sunjic, N. Vafiades, U. Zeitz, G. de Souza; Forwards: J. Bilden, C. Danquah, A. Farnos, H. Hvatum, M. Jones, S. Reid, E. Samb.
New York City II’s roster is similarly youthful and attack-minded, with a strong mix of midfielders capable of linking play and several forwards who can stretch defences. Their season statistics – 28 goals scored and only 3 clean sheets – point to a side that prioritises offensive output. Expect an aggressive setup, with full-backs like Nico Cavallo or João Loiola offering width and midfielders such as Musu or K. Pierre providing drive through the centre.
New England II Team News
No significant absences reported.
New York City II Team News
No significant absences reported.
Injuries & Suspensions
New England II:
- None reported.
New York City II:
- None reported.
Betting Tips: New England II vs New York City II
Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:
- Result Tip: Double chance – draw or New York City II. The prediction probabilities give New England II only a 10% chance of victory, with 45% each for draw and away win. New York City II’s stronger recent form (12 goals scored, 5 conceded in the last five) supports siding against a home win. With no odds available, this is a purely statistical recommendation.
- Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Both teams average at least 1.5 goals scored per match in their wider statistics, and recent head-to-head meetings at Gillette Stadium have finished 3-2, 2-1, 3-3 and 2-1. Combined with defensive averages of 1.3 and 1.6 goals conceded per game, the data points strongly towards multiple goals.
- Value Tip: New York City II to score in the second half. Their scoring profile peaks between 61–75 and 76–90 minutes, and they average 1.8 goals per match. New England II concede a significant share of their goals after the break, particularly in the final quarter. For bettors, backing the visitors to find a second-half goal aligns with both teams’ time-distribution trends.
Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.
