HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

HFX Wanderers FC welcome Supra du Quebec to Wanderers Grounds on 24 July 2026 in a Canadian Premier League Group Stage clash that already feels important in the race for mid-table security and a potential push up the standings. With the hosts sitting 5th and the visitors 7th, both sides know that points here could significantly shape the second half of their campaign.

The Wanderers have been inconsistent but competitive, collecting 16 points from 14 matches and maintaining a goal difference of -3. Supra du Quebec, a newer name in the Canadian Premier League landscape, have 11 points from 11 games and a -6 goal difference, and they come into this one trying to build on a much-needed recent win after a poor run.

There is added intrigue from the recent head-to-head: Supra du Quebec beat HFX Wanderers 2-1 at CEPSUM Stadium in April. That result will be fresh in both camps’ minds as they prepare for the return meeting in Halifax, where the Wanderers’ stronger home scoring record could be decisive.

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec Key Stats

• HFX Wanderers FC are 5th with 16 points from 14 matches (4 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses), scoring 18 and conceding 21.
• The only previous meeting this season saw Supra du Quebec beat HFX Wanderers FC 2-1 on 24 April 2026 in the Canadian Premier League Group Stage.
• In league statistics, HFX Wanderers FC average 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Supra du Quebec average 1.4 scored and 1.9 conceded.

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 5 vs 7
• Points: 16 vs 11
• Goals For: 18 vs 15
• Goals Against: 21 vs 21
• Clean Sheets: 2 vs 0

The standings underline a narrow but clear advantage for HFX Wanderers FC. Over 14 matches they have scored 18 and conceded 21, while Supra du Quebec have played three fewer games, scoring 15 and conceding 21. The hosts’ slightly better points return and superior clean-sheet record (2 versus 0) suggest a more balanced side, even if both teams sit in negative goal-difference territory.

Home and away splits also matter. HFX Wanderers have been stronger at Wanderers Grounds, with 11 goals scored and 11 conceded across 6 home fixtures, while Supra du Quebec have struggled to keep things tight on their travels, conceding 9 goals in just 4 away games. That defensive vulnerability away from home is a key angle heading into this matchup, especially against a Wanderers side that tends to create chances in front of their own fans.

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec Key Matchups

Tavio Ciccarelli vs Sean Rea

Tavio Ciccarelli has been one of the most efficient attacking threats for HFX Wanderers FC. The 19-year-old attacker has scored 3 goals, converting from just 5 total shots, 4 of which have been on target. He also boasts a perfect penalty record with 1 scored and has drawn 4 fouls, showing his ability to unsettle defences. His passing is tidy as well, with 20 total passes at 90% accuracy and 1 key pass.

For Supra du Quebec, creative responsibility often runs through Sean Rea. The midfielder has 1 goal and 1 assist from 11 appearances, with 6 shots (2 on target) and an impressive 15 key passes from 152 total passes at 82% accuracy. Rea’s ability to link play and open defences contrasts with Ciccarelli’s more direct goal threat, making this a classic creator-versus-finisher subplot that could shape the flow of the game.

L. Callegari vs C. Auguste

In midfield, Lorenzo Giuseppe Callegari is a central figure for HFX Wanderers. Across 12 appearances and 540 minutes, he has scored 2 goals and contributed heavily in possession with 467 passes at 87% accuracy and 9 key passes. Defensively, he adds 13 tackles and 12 interceptions, underlining his two-way importance. His 4 yellow cards indicate he plays on the edge, but his 7.55 rating highlights his influence.

At the back for Supra du Quebec, Charles Auguste is a key defensive presence. The defender has made 11 appearances, all as a starter, with 348 minutes played. He has contributed 243 passes at 86% accuracy, 11 tackles, and 9 interceptions, while also adding 4 key passes going forward. His discipline is generally solid with 2 yellow cards, and his 6.78 rating reflects a reliable, if not spectacular, performer. The battle between Callegari’s progressive passing and Auguste’s defensive positioning will be central to whether Wanderers can control midfield and create quality chances.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have only met once recently in competitive action, but that encounter already provides a compelling reference point for this rematch.

• 24 April 2026: Supra du Quebec 2-1 HFX Wanderers FC (Canadian Premier League)

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction

Stats suggest a tight but open contest. HFX Wanderers come in with slightly better recent form and a more solid defensive profile. Their last five matches show 9 goals scored and 8 conceded, while Supra du Quebec’s last five feature 9 scored but a worrying 14 conceded, highlighting how open their games have become.

The prediction model edges towards the hosts: HFX Wanderers FC are given a 35% chance of winning, the draw also stands at 35%, and Supra du Quebec have a 30% chance. That points to a very balanced matchup with a slight lean towards the home side, especially given their stronger home scoring rate (1.8 goals per home game) versus Supra’s 2.3 goals conceded per away match.

HFX Wanderers also have a small psychological point to prove after losing 2-1 in Quebec in April. With the advice leaning towards a double chance for Wanderers or draw and at least two goals in the game, a home-favoured scoreline with both teams on the board looks logical.

Predicted Score: HFX Wanderers FC 2-1 Supra du Quebec

HFX Wanderers FC Recent Form

In the league, HFX Wanderers FC’s recent form is mixed but competitive, with a sequence of results that includes wins, draws, and narrow defeats rather than heavy losses. Across 14 matches they have 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, and their last five fixtures show improved attacking output (9 goals scored) while still conceding slightly more than a goal per game. Overall, they look like a mid-table side capable of raising their level at home.

Supra du Quebec Recent Form

Supra du Quebec’s recent form is more worrying. Their league run of results features several defeats, reflected in 6 losses from 11 games. In their last five outings they have managed 9 goals but shipped 14, underlining defensive fragility, particularly late in matches. They have shown they can score, but their inability to keep clean sheets (0 so far) and a tendency to concede multiple goals make them vulnerable, especially away from home.

HFX Wanderers FC Possible Starting Lineup

Potential key players for HFX Wanderers FC (grouped by position):
Goalkeepers: M. Carducci, S. Astridge
Defenders: Jefferson Alphonse, I. A. Hassan, Harvey Hughes, F. Linder, T. Meilleur-Giguère, Kareem Sow, F. Troisi
Midfielders: Miguel Arilla, L. Callegari, M. Godinho, I. Johnston, L. Olguin, A. Rampersad, S. Zitman
Forwards: Victor Tolulope Oluwatosin Akinwale, J. Bahamboula, Y. Baï, T. Ciccarelli, C. Kachwele, R. Telfer

The Wanderers have a deep midfield unit led by Callegari, Johnston, and Godinho, offering a blend of creativity, ball retention, and defensive work. In attack, options like Ciccarelli and Akinwale provide direct goal threat, while experienced wide players such as R. Telfer and Y. Baï add width and crossing ability. Tactically, they have used 3-5-2, 4-3-3, and 4-2-3-1 this season, suggesting flexibility to either dominate possession at home or hit quickly in transition depending on the game state.

Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup

There is no detailed squad list available for Supra du Quebec for this fixture, but key contributors identified from league statistics include midfielder Sean Rea as a primary creator, defender Charles Auguste as a defensive anchor with good passing numbers, and full-back or wide defender D. Abzi, who combines defensive work with forward runs. Discipline from players such as Alessandro Biello and R. Bey, who have both seen red cards this season, will also be crucial.

Tactically, Supra du Quebec appear to play on the front foot, averaging 1.4 goals per match but conceding 1.9, which points to an open, transition-heavy style. Away from home, tightening up defensively while still allowing Rea and the wide players to influence attacks will be key if they are to get a result in Halifax.

HFX Wanderers FC Team News

No significant absences reported.

Supra du Quebec Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

HFX Wanderers FC:

• None reported.

Supra du Quebec:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back HFX Wanderers FC Draw No Bet. With a 35% win probability for the hosts and 35% for the draw versus 30% for Supra du Quebec, plus Wanderers’ stronger home record and clean-sheet edge (2 vs 0), the home side look marginally safer. The draw-no-bet angle protects against a stalemate while leaning into the hosts’ slight advantage.
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Both teams’ league averages (1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded for HFX; 1.4 scored and 1.9 conceded for Supra) and the previous 2-1 meeting point strongly towards at least two goals. Supra’s last five matches averaging 2.8 goals conceded alone further support an over 1.5 goals selection.
• Value Tip: Tavio Ciccarelli to score anytime. The young Wanderers forward has 3 goals from limited minutes, with 4 of his 5 shots on target and a perfect penalty record (1 scored). Given Supra du Quebec’s defensive issues and lack of clean sheets, backing Ciccarelli as a goalscorer offers appealing upside if priced generously by bookmakers.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.