FC Cincinnati II vs Columbus Crew II Prediction: Preview and Betting Tips
FC Cincinnati II host Columbus Crew II at NKU Soccer Stadium on 14 June 2026 in a high-stakes MLS Next Pro Group Stage clash. The rivalry has already produced several dramatic encounters at this venue, and with both sides at very different ends of the standings, this edition of the derby carries real competitive weight as well as local pride.
The season record shows FC Cincinnati II struggling in the Eastern Conference, with just 9 points from 12 matches and a negative goal difference that underlines their defensive frailties. In contrast, Columbus Crew II arrive as one of the conference’s standard-setters, sitting on 26 points from 14 games and firmly in the promotion playoff positions. With the visitors targeting the top of the conference and the hosts fighting to climb away from the bottom, this is a classic “form vs rivalry” encounter.
Recent meetings at NKU Soccer Stadium have often gone the way of the hosts, but Columbus Crew II’s overall campaign suggests they will come into this one as favourites. With both sides averaging close to two goals conceded per match across the season, this fixture again looks primed to be decided in both boxes rather than by cagey defending.
FC Cincinnati II vs Columbus Crew II Key Stats
- FC Cincinnati II have taken 9 points from 12 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 22 in MLS Next Pro.
- Across their last five MLS Next Pro meetings, the home side has won three times and the away side twice, with FC Cincinnati II beating Columbus Crew II 2-1 at NKU Soccer Stadium on 10 May 2026.
- Columbus Crew II are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.7 goals conceded per game this season, while FC Cincinnati II concede 1.8 goals per match on average.
FC Cincinnati II vs Columbus Crew II — Tale of the Tape
- Position: 8 vs 1 (Northeast Division)
- Points: 9 vs 26
- Goals For: 12 vs 25
- Goals Against: 22 vs 23
- Clean Sheets: FC Cincinnati II 2; Columbus Crew II 2
In the Northeast Division, FC Cincinnati II sit 8th with 9 points from 12 matches, having lost 9 and won just 3. Their goal difference of -10 (12 scored, 22 conceded) highlights the imbalance in their performances, particularly away from home where they have lost all six fixtures and scored only twice. At home, they are more competitive, with 3 wins and 3 defeats, and a 10-8 goal record that shows they can trouble visiting defences.
Columbus Crew II top the Northeast Division with 26 points from 14 matches, winning 9 and losing 5 with no draws. They have scored 25 and conceded 23, and in the broader Eastern Conference table they sit 2nd with the same points and goal difference, firmly in the “Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)” zone. Their home record is strong (6 wins from 7), but away from home they are more volatile: 3 wins and 4 defeats, with 11 goals scored and 16 conceded. That away inconsistency keeps the door slightly ajar for FC Cincinnati II, especially given the hosts’ stronger home numbers.
FC Cincinnati II vs Columbus Crew II Key Matchups
Attacking Units vs Vulnerable Defences
With no individual top scorers or assist leaders listed, the collective patterns stand out. FC Cincinnati II average 1.7 goals scored per home game and 1.3 conceded, while Columbus Crew II’s away profile shows 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded per match. Both sides have exactly 2 clean sheets this season, and both concede close to two goals per game overall (1.8 for Cincinnati, 1.7 for Columbus). The matchup between FC Cincinnati II’s home attack and Columbus Crew II’s leaky away defence could be decisive; if the hosts reach their typical home scoring level, they will test a Columbus back line that has already allowed 16 goals on the road.
Late-Game Intensity vs Discipline
Discipline and game management will also be crucial. FC Cincinnati II pick up many of their yellow cards late, with 21.88% of bookings between 76-90 minutes and a notable red-card presence in the second half. Columbus Crew II also see a spike in yellow cards between 61-75 minutes (26.67%) and 76-90 minutes (20.00%), plus an early red card in the 0-15 range this season. With both sides prone to late cautions and FC Cincinnati II having multiple red cards in the final half-hour, the closing stages could be chaotic, especially if the scoreline is tight.
Head-to-Head: Last Meetings
This rivalry has been high-scoring and relatively even in recent seasons, with momentum swinging between the two clubs. Across the five most recent MLS Next Pro meetings listed below, FC Cincinnati II have three wins and Columbus Crew II two.
- 10 May 2026: FC Cincinnati II 2-1 Columbus Crew II (MLS Next Pro, Group Stage)
- 21 March 2026: Columbus Crew II 2-0 FC Cincinnati II (MLS Next Pro, Group Stage)
- 25 September 2025: FC Cincinnati II 4-3 Columbus Crew II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 6)
- 18 May 2025: Columbus Crew II 1-0 FC Cincinnati II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 13)
- 15 September 2024: FC Cincinnati II 2-1 Columbus Crew II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 37)
FC Cincinnati II vs Columbus Crew II Prediction
Form and season-long metrics point towards Columbus Crew II having the edge. They boast a 60% win rate over their last five matches, with 10 goals scored in that span and a league form line packed with victories. FC Cincinnati II, by contrast, have a last-five win rate of just 20%, conceding 11 goals in that period and showing a “LLLLW” league form string that underlines their inconsistency.
However, head-to-head meetings at NKU Soccer Stadium have often favoured the hosts, and FC Cincinnati II’s home scoring rate of 1.7 goals per game suggests they can at least make this competitive. The prediction metrics lean towards Columbus Crew II avoiding defeat, with only a 10% implied chance for a home win and 45% each for draw and away victory, and the recommended angle is a double chance in favour of the visitors. With both teams averaging close to two goals conceded per game, a tight but scoring draw looks plausible.
Predicted Score: FC Cincinnati II 1-1 Columbus Crew II
FC Cincinnati II League Form
LLLLW
Columbus Crew II League Form
WWLOWOL
FC Cincinnati II Possible Starting Lineup
Goalkeepers: L. Broz, C. Dale, B. Dowd, S. Hall, Fabian Mrozek, D. Paz; Defenders: A. Chirila, G. DeHart, G. Flores, D. Hurtado, A. Ibrahim, W. Kuisel, S. Lachekar, A. Lajhar, D. Lester, M. Miazga, Felix Samson; Midfielders: A. Chavez, N. Gassan, N. Gray, C. Malilo, J. Mize, Y. Ramos, S. Sanchez, C. Sphire, M. Sullivan; Forwards: Landon Bron, Stefan Chirila, K. Fletcher, C. Holmes, G. Marioni, D. Mosquera, C. Niang, L. Orejarena, R. Schlotterbeck, M. Vazquez.
FC Cincinnati II have a deep squad with multiple options in every line, including experienced figures such as M. Miazga at the back and a large pool of young attackers. Given their stronger performances at home, they are likely to lean on a balanced shape that protects a defence which has conceded 22 goals in 12 games while trying to maintain their 1.7 goals-per-game home output. The breadth of attacking options gives the coach flexibility to chase the game if needed, but defensive organisation will be the key against one of the league’s most potent offences.
Columbus Crew II Possible Starting Lineup
Goalkeepers: K. Abbott, S. Lapkes, Luke Pruter, A. Zochowski; Defenders: R. Aoki, Tristan Brown, G. Di Noto, P. Forfor, I. Heffess, Z. Lloyd, Owen Presthus, C. Rogers, Cesar Ruvalcaba; Midfielders: J. Bonos, J. Chirinos, G. De Libera, Q. Elliot, Eli Granda, A. Grinblat, T. Karumanchi, C. Mrowka, M. Nyeman, N. Rincon, O. Taylor, Z. Zengue; Forwards: C. Adams, B. Adu-Gyamfi, A. Alaouieh, J. Danjaji, I. Ewing, K. Gbamble, A. Gimple, I. Kone.
Columbus Crew II’s squad profile matches their attacking statistics: plenty of midfield and forward depth to sustain a high-tempo, front-foot approach that has produced 27 goals in 14 matches. With 3 away wins already despite a high 2.3 goals conceded per road game, they are likely to accept some defensive risk to maximise their attacking strengths. The presence of multiple young forwards and creative midfielders suggests they will look to stretch FC Cincinnati II’s back line and exploit the hosts’ tendency to concede in the 31-60 minute window.
FC Cincinnati II Team News
No significant absences reported.
Columbus Crew II Team News
No significant absences reported.
Injuries & Suspensions
FC Cincinnati II:
- None reported.
Columbus Crew II:
- None reported.
Betting Tips: FC Cincinnati II vs Columbus Crew II
Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:
- Result Tip: Double chance – draw or Columbus Crew II. With Columbus Crew II given a 45% implied chance to win and 45% for the draw, against just 10% for a home victory, backing the visitors not to lose aligns with both the probability split and their superior league position and form.
- Goals Tip: Both teams to score. FC Cincinnati II average 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Columbus Crew II average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded away. Combined with a head-to-head history rich in multi-goal games, the data points towards goals at both ends.
- Value Tip: Draw in a high-scoring rivalry. Columbus Crew II’s away volatility (3 wins, 4 losses, 16 conceded) and FC Cincinnati II’s strong home record against this opponent make the draw a live outcome despite the visitors’ overall edge. With the prediction leaning “win or draw” for Columbus and both sides’ defences conceding at similar rates, the stalemate offers potential value in a derby context.
How to Watch FC Cincinnati II vs Columbus Crew II
Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:
- Spain: Movistar LaLiga
- UK: Premier Sports
- Australia: beIN Sports
- India: FanCode
- MENA: beIN Sports
- South America: ESPN / Disney+
- Africa: SuperSport
Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.





