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Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas Prediction: Match Preview and Betting Tips

Colorado Rapids II welcome North Texas to CIBER Field on 12 July 2026 in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action, with the two sides heading into the clash on very different trajectories. The hosts are rooted near the bottom of the Frontier Division, while North Texas are pushing in the upper half and looking to stay in the playoff conversation.

Colorado Rapids II have endured a brutal campaign so far. With just 9 points from 17 matches and a goal difference of -20, they are 7th in the Frontier Division and 14th in the Eastern Conference overall. Defensive frailty and a lack of cutting edge have combined to leave them in a deep hole, and home form at CIBER Field has offered little comfort.

North Texas, by contrast, sit 5th in the Frontier Division and 10th in the Eastern Conference with 22 points from 15 games. They have been inconsistent, but a positive goal difference of +6 and an attack averaging close to two goals per match underline why this fixture will be seen as a big opportunity to bank another away win.

Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas Key Stats

  • Colorado Rapids II have taken just 9 points from 17 matches, with only 2 wins and 15 defeats, scoring 15 and conceding 35 in the standings.
  • In the most recent meeting on 8 March 2026, North Texas beat Colorado Rapids II 3-1 at Choctaw Stadium in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action.
  • Season statistics show Colorado Rapids II conceding an average of 2.3 goals per game across 17 fixtures, while North Texas score an average of 1.9 goals per game across 15 fixtures.

Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 7 vs 5 (Frontier Division)
  • Points: 9 vs 22
  • Goals For: 15 vs 26
  • Goals Against: 35 vs 20
  • Clean Sheets: Colorado Rapids II 1; North Texas 2 (tournament statistics)

The standings paint a stark picture. Colorado Rapids II have lost 15 of their 17 matches, with no draws and only 2 wins. Their 15 goals scored and 35 conceded in the table translate to a goal difference of -20, comfortably the worst in their conference bracket. At home, they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9 games, conceding 19 times.

North Texas are not flawless, but their profile is far more balanced. With 7 wins and 8 losses from 15 games, they are clearly a high-variance side, yet their 26 goals scored and 20 conceded give them a positive differential. On the road they have 3 wins and 6 defeats from 9 matches, suggesting they are capable of picking up results away from Choctaw Stadium, even if they remain vulnerable at the back.

Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas Key Matchups

Colorado Rapids II attack vs North Texas defence

Without individual scorer data, the clash is best framed in unit terms. Colorado Rapids II average just 0.9 goals per game across 17 fixtures, and have failed to score in 5 of those. They have never gone above 2 goals in a single match this season, with their “biggest win” recorded as 1-0 at home and 1-2 away. Up against a North Texas defence that concedes 1.5 goals per game at home and 1.6 away (1.5 overall), the hosts will need to be far more clinical than they have been. North Texas have managed 2 clean sheets in their 2026 statistics, indicating they are capable of shutting games down when needed.

North Texas forwards vs Colorado Rapids II back line

North Texas’ attacking unit is the clear strength in this matchup. Across 15 fixtures they have scored 28 goals, with an impressive 2.7 goals per game at home and 1.3 away. They have hit as many as 5 in a single home game and 4 away, underlining their ceiling. Colorado Rapids II, meanwhile, concede 2.3 goals per game and have already shipped 39 in 17 matches in their wider statistics, with their heaviest home defeat being 1-4. If North Texas find their rhythm, the numbers suggest they are well placed to exploit the hosts’ porous back line.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These two clubs have built up a rich recent history in MLS Next Pro, often producing high-scoring and dramatic encounters across both Colorado and Texas. The rivalry has been competitive, with momentum swinging back and forth over the last few seasons.

  • 8 March 2026: North Texas 3-1 Colorado Rapids II (MLS Next Pro Group Stage)
  • 3 August 2025: North Texas 1-4 Colorado Rapids II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 28)
  • 19 June 2025: Colorado Rapids II 1-1 North Texas (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 19, North Texas won 4-2 on penalties)
  • 21 April 2025: North Texas 2-3 Colorado Rapids II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 7)
  • 2 September 2024: North Texas 2-2 Colorado Rapids II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 34, North Texas won 5-4 on penalties)

Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas Prediction

All the underlying indicators point towards North Texas having the edge. The prediction model gives Colorado Rapids II just a 10% chance of victory, with both the draw and an away win rated at 45% each. That split reflects a strong expectation that Colorado will struggle to convert home advantage into three points, while also acknowledging North Texas’ inconsistency and the possibility of a stalemate.

Colorado’s form line is dire. Their extended sequence of defeats, combined with an average of 2.3 goals conceded per match and just 0.9 scored, suggests they will spend long periods under pressure. North Texas, on the other hand, have a more balanced profile: 7 wins from 15, a positive goal difference, and recent head-to-head success including a 3-1 win in March 2026.

Given the heavy skew in attacking numbers and the vulnerability of both defences, this could be an open contest. However, with no precise goals projection available, a conservative scoreline remains the most sensible call, leaning on the away side’s superior firepower and recent dominance.

Predicted Score: Colorado Rapids II 1-2 North Texas

Colorado Rapids II Recent Form

Colorado Rapids II are in a prolonged slump. Their recent form string in the standings, “LWLWOLO”, underlines how rarely they avoid defeat, and the broader tournament statistics show a long losing streak of up to 13 matches at one point. With only 2 wins and no draws from 17 games, they have been unable to build any momentum, and their defensive record is among the worst in the competition.

North Texas Recent Form

North Texas’ recent form is mixed but significantly stronger. Their standings form “WLOLLOW” reflects a streaky side capable of both impressive wins and disappointing losses. Tournament statistics show a biggest winning streak of 3 matches, balanced by a similar losing run, but overall 7 wins from 15 and a positive goal difference point to a team that more often finds a way to score enough to take games away from opponents.

Colorado Rapids II Possible Starting Lineup

With no confirmed lineups available, a projected core group for Colorado Rapids II could include:

GK: Zackory Campagnolo or K. Starks
Defenders: J. Cameron, C. Harper, I. Murphy, K. Thomas, J. De Coteau
Midfielders: A. Fadal, L. Garcia, Noah Strellnauer, S. Wathuta, N. Tchoumba
Forwards: J. Copeland, M. Diop, B. Jamison, K. Stewart-Baynes

The squad profile shows a very young group, with many teenagers and early‑20s players, which helps explain some of the inconsistency and defensive naivety. Expect Colorado Rapids II to line up in a compact shape, trying to protect a back line that has conceded heavily, while relying on the mobility of attackers like Copeland, Diop and Jamison to threaten on transitions.

North Texas Possible Starting Lineup

Again, without official lineups, a likely core for North Texas might feature:

GK: B. Thompson or E. Dymora
Defenders: Alvaro Augusto, Leandro, Enzo Newman, Slade Starnes, Joshua Torquato
Midfielders: F. Aroyameh, N. James, M. Luccin, T. Ospina, Umberto Pela
Forwards: E. Nys, Ricky Louis, J. Contreras, Nicholas Simmonds

North Texas have a deeper and more balanced roster, with a blend of defensive solidity and creative options in midfield. Their attacking statistics suggest they will not hesitate to commit numbers forward, particularly in wide areas, to exploit Colorado’s defensive issues. A front line built around players like E. Nys and Ricky Louis should ensure they continue to generate chances on the road.

Colorado Rapids II Team News

No significant absences reported.

North Texas Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Colorado Rapids II:

  • None reported.

North Texas:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas

Exactly 3 distinct betting angles stand out from the statistical profile and prediction probabilities:

  • Result Tip: Back North Texas in the match result market. With the prediction model giving the visitors a 45% chance of victory versus just 10% for Colorado Rapids II, and considering the away side’s stronger attack and recent 3-1 win in March 2026, North Texas are the logical side to be on.
  • Goals Tip: Over 2.5 total goals is an attractive angle. Colorado Rapids II concede 2.3 goals per game and North Texas score 1.9 on average. Recent head-to-head clashes have often been high scoring (3-1, 4-1, 3-3, 4-2), suggesting a good chance of at least three goals again.
  • Value Tip: North Texas to score at least 2 goals. Their attacking statistics (28 goals in 15 games) and Colorado’s defensive record (39 conceded in 17 across the wider stats, with a heaviest home loss of 1-4) point towards the visitors creating multiple clear chances. In a matchup where the away side’s strength directly targets the home side’s weakness, backing North Texas to hit the net twice or more offers value.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.