Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Chicago Fire II host New York RB II at SeatGeek Stadium on 12 July 2026 in an MLS Next Pro Group Stage clash that already feels like a measuring stick for both sides. The Central Division side from Chicago are battling inconsistency but remain firmly in the playoff conversation, while New York RB II arrive from the Northeast Division with one of the most explosive attacks in the competition.

In the broader Eastern Conference picture, New York RB II have put themselves in a strong position with a high points tally and a healthy goal difference, pushing towards the MLS Next Pro play-offs. Chicago Fire II, meanwhile, sit mid-pack in their division and conference, needing home wins like this to stay on track for the postseason. With recent meetings between these two producing wild scorelines, this fixture shapes up as one of the standout MLS Next Pro predictions for the weekend.

SeatGeek Stadium has already seen its share of high-scoring encounters between these sides, and with both teams averaging well over a goal per game, bettors and fans alike will be eyeing this matchup as a prime candidate for attacking football and goal-heavy betting tips.

Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II Key Stats

• Chicago Fire II have 24 points from 16 matches (8 wins, 8 losses), scoring and conceding 24 goals for a goal difference of 0.
• The last meeting on 26 October 2025 ended New York RB II 5-3 Chicago Fire II after extra time in the MLS Next Pro Quarter-finals at MSU Soccer Park.
• New York RB II have scored 40 goals across 17 matches this season, averaging 2.4 goals per game in tournament statistics.

Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 5 vs 2
• Points: 24 vs 32
• Goals For: 24 vs 39
• Goals Against: 24 vs 24
• Clean Sheets: Chicago Fire II 3; New York RB II 3 (tournament statistics)

In the Central Division, Chicago Fire II sit 5th with 24 points from 16 matches. Their record is perfectly balanced: 8 wins and 8 defeats, with 24 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have been stronger, winning 5 of 7 and posting a +5 goal difference (14 scored, 9 conceded), but their away form has dragged down their overall numbers.

New York RB II, by contrast, are 2nd in the Northeast Division with 32 points from 17 matches and a +15 goal difference (39 scored, 24 conceded). In the broader Eastern Conference table they are 3rd, firmly in the promotion play-off frame. Their attack is particularly impressive, averaging 3.1 goals per game at home and 1.5 away, while defensively they concede 1.6 goals per match overall. Both teams have kept 3 clean sheets in tournament statistics, underlining that while they can shut opponents out, their identity leans much more towards front-foot football.

Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II Key Matchups

Chicago Fire II midfield unit vs Shunya Sakai

Chicago Fire II do not have an individual listed among the top scorers or assist providers, so their collective midfield performance will be crucial against New York’s structure. New York RB II’s standout listed player is defender Shunya Sakai, who appears across the top scorers, assists, yellow cards and red cards lists. In his one appearance this season, Sakai has not yet contributed goals or assists and has no cards, but his presence across multiple statistical leaderboards suggests he is involved in many phases of play.

For Chicago, breaking lines through the likes of C. Cassano, H. Osorio and Samuel Williams in midfield will be key to testing Sakai and the New York back line. With New York RB II conceding 27 goals in 17 matches (1.6 per game), there is space to exploit if Chicago can move the ball quickly between the lines and isolate Sakai and his fellow defenders in wide or transitional situations.

Chicago Fire II attacking depth vs New York RB II defensive organisation

Chicago Fire II have spread their 27 tournament goals across multiple contributors, with an overall average of 1.7 goals per match. They have also failed to score only twice in 16 games, underlining a consistent attacking threat. On the other side, New York RB II’s defence has allowed 27 goals in 17 matches, but they have still managed 3 clean sheets and often rely on their high-scoring attack to outgun opponents.

The duel between Chicago’s front line — featuring options like O. Glasgow, Jason Shokalook and D. Tchétchao — and a New York defence anchored by Sakai and a deep pool of young defenders will go a long way to deciding whether this becomes another goalfest or a more controlled away performance.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These two sides have produced some of the most entertaining fixtures in MLS Next Pro over the past few seasons, with high scores and dramatic swings in momentum. Recent clashes have been especially notable for late goals and attacking risk-taking from both teams.

• 26 October 2025: New York RB II 5-3 Chicago Fire II (MLS Next Pro, Quarter-finals)
• 24 August 2025: New York RB II 1-0 Chicago Fire II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 31)
• 27 July 2025: Chicago Fire II 9-2 New York RB II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 26)
• 06 April 2025: New York RB II 3-2 Chicago Fire II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 5)
• 13 September 2024: Chicago Fire II 2-1 New York RB II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 36)

Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II Prediction

Stats suggest a highly competitive encounter with a strong chance of goals on both sides. Chicago Fire II’s home record is solid, and they average 2.1 goals scored per home match in tournament statistics, but they also concede 1.4 at SeatGeek Stadium. New York RB II bring a more explosive overall attack, with 40 goals in 17 games and a particularly dangerous late-game profile — a significant share of their goals arrive between the 61st and 90th minutes.

The prediction model gives New York RB II and the draw equal top billing, with a 45% chance of an away win, 45% chance of a draw, and only 10% for a home victory. That aligns with the standings and the head-to-head pattern, where New York have often edged tight contests despite some heavy defeats. Expect Chicago to start aggressively at home, but New York’s deeper attacking resources and stronger recent scoring record should allow them to at least avoid defeat. Given Chicago’s capacity to score and New York’s tendency to trade chances, a high-scoring draw or narrow away win looks the most plausible outcome.

Predicted Score: Chicago Fire II 2-2 New York RB II

Chicago Fire II Recent Form

Chicago Fire II’s recent form has been volatile. Their standings form string reads as a mix of wins and losses, reflecting a team that tends to either win or lose rather than draw. Over 16 matches they have 8 victories and 8 defeats, with no draws, underlining their high-risk approach. At home they have been strong with 5 wins from 7, but their inconsistency across the schedule makes them difficult to trust over 90 minutes.

New York RB II Recent Form

New York RB II’s recent form is that of a playoff-calibre side with occasional dips. Their standings form shows sequences of wins punctuated by losses, but overall they have 10 wins from 17 matches and no draws. A five-game winning streak earlier in the campaign highlights their ceiling, while recent results suggest they remain dangerous in attack even when they concede. Their last five matches in the prediction data show 13 goals scored and 9 conceded, an average of 2.6 for and 1.8 against per game.

Chicago Fire II Possible Starting Lineup

GK: P. Los or Bryan Dowd; Defenders: J. Reynolds, Oluwaseun Oyegunle, D. Konincks, M. Kanyane; Midfielders: H. Osorio, C. Cassano, Samuel Williams, Dylan Borso; Forwards: O. Glasgow, Jason Shokalook.

Chicago Fire II have a deep squad with several young options across the pitch. In goal, P. Los and Bryan Dowd are both available, while the back line can be built around J. Reynolds and Oluwaseun Oyegunle, with support from D. Konincks and M. Kanyane. In midfield, creative and energetic profiles like H. Osorio, C. Cassano and Samuel Williams should provide the link between defence and attack, while O. Glasgow and Jason Shokalook give pace and finishing threat up front. The squad’s youth suggests a high-tempo, pressing approach, but also potential defensive lapses against a clinical opponent.

New York RB II Possible Starting Lineup

GK: A. Causey; Defenders: J. Mina, Joyeux Masanka Bungi, Londono, Shunya Sakai; Midfielders: N. Benedetti, A. Jarvis, M. Morigi, P. Sokoloff; Forwards: C. Harper, Roald Mitchell.

New York RB II’s roster is packed with promising young players across all lines. A. Causey is a likely starter in goal, protected by a defence featuring J. Mina, Joyeux Masanka Bungi, Londono and Shunya Sakai. In midfield, the likes of N. Benedetti, A. Jarvis and M. Morigi can drive the team forward, while P. Sokoloff adds technical quality. Up front, attackers such as C. Harper and Roald Mitchell give New York pace and movement, fitting their high-scoring profile. With so many attacking options, they are well equipped to exploit Chicago’s tendency to play open games.

Chicago Fire II Team News

No significant absences reported.

New York RB II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Chicago Fire II:

• None reported.

New York RB II:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back New York RB II double chance (draw or away win). With the prediction probabilities giving Chicago Fire II only a 10% chance of victory versus 45% each for draw and away win, and New York sitting higher in the standings with a stronger attack, the safer angle is to side with the visitors not to lose.
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Both teams average around or above 1.7 goals scored per match and concede at similar rates. Recent head-to-head meetings have produced scorelines like 5-3, 9-2 and 3-2, and the prediction advice explicitly points towards a goals market of +1.5, making this a logical inclusion for accumulators.
• Value Tip: Both teams to score. Chicago Fire II have failed to score in only 2 of 16 matches, while New York RB II have failed to score just once in 17. With New York’s attack generating 40 goals and Chicago’s home record showing 14 scored in 7 games, the attacking profiles and H2H history suggest good value in backing both sides to find the net.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.