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Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

This second leg of the UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round in Celje sets up a finely poised tie between Celje and Egnatia Rrogozhinë after a chaotic 3-3 draw in Albania on 22 July 2026. With the match taking place in Celje and everything still level on aggregate, both sides know that a single moment could swing the tie and keep their Champions League dream alive.

Celje showed impressive attacking resilience in that first meeting, scoring three times away from home but also conceding three. Egnatia Rrogozhinë, meanwhile, continued their high-scoring start to the campaign, making it 10 goals scored in just three Champions League qualifiers this season. The numbers suggest another open contest, with qualification and a lucrative place in the next round on the line.

From a betting and prediction standpoint, this clash features two teams with contrasting profiles: Celje have played only one Champions League match this season, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë already have three under their belt, including a 6-1 home win. That extra competitive rhythm, plus the statistical edge in attack, will heavily influence how this decisive leg is likely to unfold.

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Key Stats

  • Celje have played 1 Champions League match this season, drawing 3-3 away and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per game.
  • The only previous meeting between the sides came on 22 July 2026 in Rrogozhinë and finished Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3-3 Celje in the UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round.
  • Egnatia Rrogozhinë have scored 10 goals in 3 Champions League qualifiers this season (3.3 per game) but have yet to keep a clean sheet, conceding 5 goals (1.7 per game).

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: Not available vs Not available
  • Points: Not available vs Not available
  • Goals For: Not available vs Not available
  • Goals Against: Not available vs Not available
  • Clean Sheets: Celje 0 (tournament statistics), Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 (tournament statistics)

Group-stage or league standings are not yet established for these qualifiers, but early-round tournament statistics still tell a clear story. Celje’s single outing produced a 3-3 draw away from home, underlining both their attacking potential and defensive vulnerability. With no clean sheets and an average of 3.0 goals scored and conceded per match, their games are wide open.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë arrive with a larger sample: three matches, one win and two draws, and still unbeaten in this Champions League campaign. They have been explosive at home, scoring 9 goals in 2 home fixtures, including a 6-1 win, while also showing that they can be pegged back, conceding 5 overall. Neither side has managed a clean sheet so far, pointing strongly towards another high-scoring encounter rather than a cagey, defensive second leg.

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Key Matchups

Celje attack vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë defence

Celje’s tournament statistics show 3 goals scored in their only match, away from home, at an average of 3.0 per game. Their biggest attacking output so far is exactly those 3 goals on the road, which came despite having no prior Champions League fixtures this season. That suggests they can trouble Egnatia’s back line again, especially with the support of the home crowd in Celje.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s defence, however, has been inconsistent. Across 3 matches they have conceded 5 goals, with an average of 1.7 per game and 2.0 per game at home. Their minute distribution shows that a significant share of goals conceded have come in the first and last phases of each half, highlighting potential lapses in concentration. If Celje can replicate their attacking output from the first leg, this matchup could again tilt towards a goal-heavy contest.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë front line vs Celje back four

Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s attack is the standout unit in this tie. With 10 goals scored in 3 matches, they average 3.3 per game, and an impressive 4.5 per game at home. Their biggest win so far is a 6-1 home victory, underlining their ability to overwhelm opponents when they find rhythm. They score across all phases of the match, with a notable share of goals arriving in the opening 15 minutes, just before half-time, and particularly in the final quarter of an hour.

Celje’s defence, by contrast, has only one Champions League game in the sample, but it was a 3-goal concession away from home. Their goals-against profile shows they have been vulnerable early in halves and late in games, with a significant share of goals conceded coming in the first 15 minutes, just after half-time, and in the final quarter. Against an Egnatia side that keeps pressing until the end, Celje’s back line will need a major step up to avoid another shootout.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These clubs have only recently crossed paths in European competition, but their first meeting already hinted at a potentially classic qualifying tie, with six goals and momentum swings across the 90 minutes.

  • 22 July 2026: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3-3 Celje (UEFA Champions League)

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Prediction

Stats suggest a very balanced second leg, but with a clear leaning towards goals. Both sides are yet to taste defeat in this Champions League campaign: Celje have drawn their only outing, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë have one win and two draws. The comparison model strongly favours Egnatia in form and attack (form index 83 vs 17, attack 77 vs 23), while Celje hold a relative edge defensively.

The win-probability model gives Celje only a 10% chance of victory in 90 minutes, with a 45% chance of a draw and a 45% chance of an Egnatia Rrogozhinë win. That underlines how much trust the numbers place in Egnatia’s unbeaten run and goal-scoring output. However, the first leg’s 3-3 scoreline and the high draw probability indicate that another tight, high-scoring match is more likely than a one-sided away win.

Given both teams’ failure to keep a clean sheet in the tournament, and Egnatia’s strong attacking metrics, the most plausible scenario is a game where both sides score, but Egnatia’s extra sharpness in the final third and greater Champions League rhythm see them edge qualification. Still, with such a high draw probability, extra time or a narrow aggregate decision cannot be ruled out.

Predicted Score: Celje 2-2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Celje Recent Form

Celje’s recent Champions League form is limited but encouraging in attack: a single 3-3 away draw in this campaign. That result shows they can compete offensively on the continental stage, but also highlights defensive frailty, with 3.0 goals conceded per match and no clean sheets so far.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Recent Form

Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s recent tournament form reads unbeaten in three: one win and two draws. They have been prolific, scoring 10 goals (3.3 per game), including a 6-1 home victory, while conceding 5. Their form index over the last five matches in this competition is strong, with a high attacking rating and solid, if not watertight, defensive numbers.

Celje Possible Starting Lineup

Potential squad options (grouped by position):
Goalkeepers: Ž. Frelih, L. Kolar, Žan-Luk Leban, S. Sluga;
Defenders: Ł. Bejger, David Castro, L. Koútris, P. Širvys, A. Tutyškinas, G. Vodeb, N. Vukasović, D. Vukliševıč, I. Ćalušić;
Midfielders: M. Zabukovnik, Papa Mustapha Daniel, Stijan Gobec, D. Hrka, F. Jevšenak, M. Kvesić, T. Letonja, R. Požeg, J. Pranjić, S. Sešlar, M. Avdyli, Y. Dukuly, M. Ivanšek, V. Tusha;
Forwards: A. Kotnik, A. Kucys, M. Poplatnik, D. Suhovrsnik.

Celje have used a 4-4-2 formation in their only Champions League outing this season, which suits a balanced approach with two forwards and wide midfielders supporting. With no injury data available, the coach appears to have a full squad to choose from, allowing flexibility between a more aggressive front two or a slightly more conservative shape if they choose to protect against Egnatia’s counter-attacking threat.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Possible Starting Lineup

Potential squad options (grouped by position):
Goalkeepers: D. Afful, M. Dajsinani, B. Puja, L. Tandilashvili;
Defenders: N. Ajetovikj, Z. Əliyev, E. Bitri, A. Fangaj, Guillem Jaime, E. Ndreca, A. Poci, G. Smajli, E. Sota, A. Xhemajli;
Midfielders: Andrey Yago, A. Aleksi, I. Diabaté, Fernando Medeiros, M. Januzi, Jefferson, A. Kryeziu, K. Selmani, A. Albanese, I. Gruda, K. Loukili;
Forwards: D. Adjessa, S. Bakayoko, D. Duro, J. Montenegro, Afonso Rodrigues.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë have alternated between 3-5-2 and 5-3-2 in their three Champions League matches, favouring systems with three central defenders and wing-backs. That structure allows them to commit numbers forward in attack while still maintaining a back five without the ball. Given their strong attacking output and the need to score at least once away from home, they are likely to stick with a three-at-the-back variant, trusting their forwards and advanced midfielders to exploit Celje’s defensive gaps.

Celje Team News

No significant absences reported.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Celje:

  • None reported.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Double chance – Draw or Egnatia Rrogozhinë. The win-probability model gives Celje only a 10% chance of winning in 90 minutes, with both the draw and an Egnatia victory rated at 45%. Egnatia are unbeaten in three Champions League qualifiers and have the stronger attacking and form indices, making the away side on the double chance a logical play.
  • Goals Tip: Over 2.5 total goals. Celje’s only Champions League game finished 3-3, while Egnatia’s three matches have produced a total of 15 goals (10 scored, 5 conceded), averaging 5.0 goals per game across the tie so far. Both teams have yet to keep a clean sheet in the tournament, strongly supporting a high-goals angle.
  • Value Tip: Both Teams to Score – Yes. Celje have scored 3 and conceded 3 in their only match, and Egnatia have scored in every Champions League fixture this season while also conceding in all three. With attacking strengths on both sides and defensive vulnerabilities evident, backing both teams to find the net offers attractive value in what should be another open encounter.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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